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San Cristobal CP vs UE Castelldefels

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

San Cristobal CP play UE Castelldefels in the Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Cristobal CP averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. UE Castelldefels averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, San Cristobal CP won 1, UE Castelldefels won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 28, 2024 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for San Cristobal CP and 1.13 for UE Castelldefels. This points to a San Cristobal CP double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
San Cristobal CP
33%
Draws
31%
UE Castelldefels
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: San Cristobal CP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • San Cristobal CP picked up more points recently compared to UE Castelldefels.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
San Cristobal CP Clean Sheet 21%
UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Cristobal CP UE Castelldefels
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 11 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
San Cristobal CP vs UE Castelldefels
0:6
Sep 9, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs San Cristobal CP
1:0
Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs San Cristobal CP
1:1
Oct 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
San Cristobal CP vs UE Castelldefels
2:0
Feb 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs San Cristobal CP
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Cristobal CP Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

UE Castelldefels Compare

Top Goalscorer Villaverde K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Alba A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Cristobal CP 37 / 100
UE Castelldefels 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Cristobal CP UE Castelldefels

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: San Cristobal CP or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Cristobal CP attacking → ← attacking UE Castelldefels

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Cristobal CP scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

UE Castelldefels let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

San Cristobal CP went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

UE Castelldefels lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 25
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Olot34247355:2079
2L Hospitalet34223956:2869
3Vilassar de Mar34179841:2760
4CF Badalona341671144:3655
5Prat341312939:3051
6UE Tona341391248:4548
7FC Lescala341461457:5948
8Reus FC Reddis3412101231:2846
9Montanesa341371432:3946
10FE Grama341361541:4745
11Girona B3411111249:4044
12Mollerussa341271533:4643
13San Cristobal CP341341735:5443
14Peralada341191434:3442
15Pobla Mafumet341081631:3938
16FC Vilafranca34891731:5333
17UE Castelldefels34791830:4730
18UE Rapitenca34932236:5130