Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Diego FC vs Portland Timbers

USA USA

MLS 2025 Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA
San Diego FC Logo

San Diego FC

4 - 0
FT
Portland Timbers Logo

Portland Timbers

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Dreyer A.
Assist: Valakari O.
17' Event
Pellegrino A.
29'
Fory J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with San Diego FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
San Diego FC
33%
Draws
27%
Portland Timbers
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: San Diego FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Diego FC come out ahead of Portland Timbers on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans San Diego FC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • San Diego FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor San Diego FC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
San Diego FC Clean Sheet 10%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Diego FC Portland Timbers
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 MLS
San Diego FC vs Portland Timbers
1:2
Nov 10, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs Portland Timbers
4:0
Nov 2, 2025 MLS
Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC
3:2
Oct 27, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs Portland Timbers
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 MLS
Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Diego FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Dreyer A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pellegrino A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Portland Timbers Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Diego FC 38 / 100
Portland Timbers 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Diego FC Portland Timbers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SDI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: San Diego FC scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Portland Timbers conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: San Diego FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Diego FC VS Portland Timbers
2 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

San Diego FC

(Home)
26 Jul
San Diego FC
1 : 0
FC Dallas
23 Jul
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
San Diego FC
24 May
San Diego FC
2 : 4
Vancouver Whitecaps
17 May
San Diego FC
3 : 3
FC Cincinnati
14 May
San Diego FC
5 : 0
Austin FC
Page 1 of 6

Portland Timbers

(Away)
26 Jul
Portland Timbers
2 : 1
Real Salt Lake
23 Jul
Portland Timbers
2 : 2
FC Dallas
17 Jul
Seattle Sounders
1 : 5
Portland Timbers
24 May
Portland Timbers
1 : 3
San Jose Earthquakes
17 May
Inter Miami
2 : 0
Portland Timbers
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
FC Cincinnati-
TBD-
TBD-
Columbus Crew-
Inter Miami-
TBD-
TBD-
Nashville SC-
Philadelphia Union-
TBD-
Chicago Fire3
Orlando City1
Charlotte FC-
TBD-
TBD-
New York City-
San Diego FC-
TBD-
Portland Timbers3
Real Salt Lake1
Minnesota United-
TBD-
TBD-
Seattle Sounders-
Vancouver Whitecaps-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Dallas-
Los Angeles FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Austin FC-
1/8-finals
FC Cincinnati3
Columbus Crew5
Inter Miami8
Nashville SC3
Philadelphia Union6
Chicago Fire2
Charlotte FC2
New York City4
San Diego FC8
Portland Timbers4
Minnesota United7
Seattle Sounders7
Vancouver Whitecaps5
FC Dallas1
Los Angeles FC6
Austin FC2
Quarter-finals
FC Cincinnati0
Inter Miami4
Philadelphia Union0
New York City1
San Diego FC1
Minnesota United0
Vancouver Whitecaps3
Los Angeles FC2
Semi-finals
Inter Miami5
New York City1
San Diego FC1
Vancouver Whitecaps3
Final
Inter Miami3
Vancouver Whitecaps1