Sport Picks
San Diego FC vs Toluca
North & Central America
CONCACAF Champions Cup Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA 
Match Events
7'
7'
Ruiz M.
12'
12'
Ingvartsen M.
16'
16'
Gallardo J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
San Diego FC in this CONCACAF Champions Cup tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Toluca lately — more wins on the board than San Diego FC.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Toluca arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor San Diego FC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
San Diego FC Clean Sheet 13%
Toluca Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Diego FC | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 19, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Toluca vs San Diego FC
4:0
Mar 12, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
San Diego FC vs Toluca
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Diego FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Vazquez D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Dreyer A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Toluca Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Diego FC 30 / 100
Toluca 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Diego FC Toluca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SDI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.
San Diego FC scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Toluca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Recent resilience: San Diego FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Diego FC VS Toluca
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
San Diego FC
(Home) 23 Jul
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0 San Diego FC
24 May
San Diego FC
2 : 4 Vancouver Whitecaps
17 May
San Diego FC
3 : 3 FC Cincinnati
14 May
San Diego FC
5 : 0 Austin FC
10 May
Seattle Sounders
1 : 1 San Diego FC
Page 1 of 6
24 May
San Diego FC
2 : 4 Vancouver Whitecaps
17 May
San Diego FC
3 : 3 FC Cincinnati
14 May
San Diego FC
5 : 0 Austin FC
03 May
San Diego FC
2 : 2 Los Angeles FC
26 Apr
San Diego FC
1 : 2 Portland Timbers
Page 1 of 4
Toluca
(Away) 22 Jul
Toluca
1 : 2 UNAM Pumas
19 Jul
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2 Toluca
10 Jul
Atlante
3 : 3 Toluca
04 Jul
Cancun
1 : 0 Toluca
31 May
Toluca
2 : 1 Tigres UANL
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2 Toluca
10 Jul
Atlante
3 : 3 Toluca
04 Jul
Cancun
1 : 0 Toluca
10 May
Pachuca
2 : 0 Toluca
30 Apr
Los Angeles FC
2 : 1 Toluca
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Toluca-
TBD-
UNAM Pumas2
San Diego FC4
Mount Pleasant-
TBD-
Los Angeles Galaxy1
Sporting San Miguelito1
Cruz Azul8
Vancouver FC0
Monterrey3
Xelaju1
Alajuelense-
TBD-
Los Angeles FC7
Real Espana1
Inter Miami-
TBD-
Nashville SC7
Atletico Ottawa0
Club America2
Olimpia1
Philadelphia Union12
Defence Force0
Tigres UANL4
Forge FC1
FC Cincinnati13
Universidad O&M0
Seattle Sounders-
TBD-
Vancouver Whitecaps2
Cartagines0
1/8-finals
Toluca6
San Diego FC3
Mount Pleasant0
Los Angeles Galaxy6
Cruz Azul4
Monterrey3
Alajuelense2
Los Angeles FC3
Inter Miami1
Nashville SC1
Club America2
Philadelphia Union1
Tigres UANL5
FC Cincinnati4
Seattle Sounders5
Vancouver Whitecaps1
Quarter-finals
Toluca7
Los Angeles Galaxy2
Cruz Azul1
Los Angeles FC4
Nashville SC1
Club America0
Tigres UANL3
Seattle Sounders3
Semi-finals
Toluca5
Los Angeles FC2
Nashville SC0
Tigres UANL2
Final
Toluca2
Tigres UANL1