Sport Picks
San Diego Wave W vs Portland Thorns FC W
USA
NWSL Women Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA 
Match Events
2'
2'
Dudinha
Assist: Corley G.
8'
8'
Tordin P.
27'
27'
Godfrey L. E.
Assist: Dudinha
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women game between San Diego Wave W and Portland Thorns FC W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Diego Wave W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Diego Wave W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Recent numbers put San Diego Wave W and Portland Thorns FC W close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
- San Diego Wave W are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
San Diego Wave W Clean Sheet 17%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Diego Wave W | Portland Thorns FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 33 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs San Diego Wave W
3:4
Apr 30, 2026 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs San Diego Wave W
2:0
Mar 26, 2026 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Portland Thorns FC W
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs San Diego Wave W
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs San Diego Wave W
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Diego Wave W Compare
Top Goalscorer Dudinha
1 Goals Assists Leader Godfrey L. E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Portland Thorns FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Tordin P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Diego Wave W 36 / 100
Portland Thorns FC W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Diego Wave W Portland Thorns FC W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
San Diego Wave W found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).
Defensive concern: Portland Thorns FC W conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.
San Diego Wave W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Diego Wave W VS Portland Thorns FC W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
San Diego Wave W
(Home) 26 Jul
San Diego Wave W
0 : 2 Seattle Reign W
18 Jul
Kansas City Current W
2 : 2 San Diego Wave W
12 Jul
San Diego Wave W
0 : 2 Angel City W
05 Jul
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0 Gotham FC W
28 Jun
Portland Thorns FC W
3 : 4 San Diego Wave W
Page 1 of 7
26 Jul
San Diego Wave W
0 : 2 Seattle Reign W
12 Jul
San Diego Wave W
0 : 2 Angel City W
05 Jul
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0 Gotham FC W
04 Jun
San Diego Wave W
1 : 0 Philippines W
24 May
San Diego Wave W
0 : 1 Orlando Pride W
Page 1 of 4
Portland Thorns FC W
(Away) 25 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 2 Gotham FC W
18 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Portland Thorns FC W
05 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
4 : 0 Racing Louisville W
28 Jun
Portland Thorns FC W
3 : 4 San Diego Wave W
Page 1 of 7
18 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Portland Thorns FC W
24 May
Kansas City Current W
3 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
08 May
Racing Louisville W
3 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
03 May
Chicago Stars W
0 : 2 Portland Thorns FC W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Spirit W | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25:12 | 33 |
| 2 | Gotham FC W | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 21:12 | 31 |
| 3 | Utah Royals W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26:17 | 30 |
| 4 | San Diego Wave W | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 23:19 | 29 |
| 5 | Portland Thorns FC W | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Kansas City Current W | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 7 | Orlando Pride W | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Angel City W | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 23:16 | 22 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 10 | Seattle Reign W | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:19 | 20 |
| 11 | Denver Summit W | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 15 | Chicago Stars W | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 8:31 | 12 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville W | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 18:28 | 11 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
