Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Diego Wave W vs Portland Thorns FC W

USA USA

NWSL Women Snapdragon Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Dudinha
Assist: Corley G.
8' Event
Tordin P.
27' Event
Godfrey L. E.
Assist: Dudinha

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between San Diego Wave W and Portland Thorns FC W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Diego Wave W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
San Diego Wave W
17%
Draws
13%
Portland Thorns FC W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: San Diego Wave W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Portland Thorns FC W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • San Diego Wave W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
San Diego Wave W Clean Sheet 16%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Diego Wave W Portland Thorns FC W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs San Diego Wave W
3:4
Apr 30, 2026 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs San Diego Wave W
2:0
Mar 26, 2026 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Portland Thorns FC W
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs San Diego Wave W
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs San Diego Wave W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Diego Wave W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudinha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Godfrey L. E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Portland Thorns FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tordin P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Diego Wave W 66 / 100
Portland Thorns FC W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Diego Wave W Portland Thorns FC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

San Diego Wave W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Portland Thorns FC W conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

San Diego Wave W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Diego Wave W VS Portland Thorns FC W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Diego Wave W1591521:1528
2Washington Spirit W1383222:1027
3Portland Thorns FC W1583424:1627
4Gotham FC W1373315:824
5Utah Royals W1473421:1624
6Kansas City Current W1480621:2024
7North Carolina Courage W1363420:1621
8Orlando Pride W1462621:1920
9Angel City W1361620:1419
10Seattle Reign W1352613:1617
11Denver Summit W1344519:1816
12Houston Dash W1443717:2315
13Bay FC W1343613:1915
14Boston Legacy W1434715:2113
15Chicago Stars W1440108:2812
16Racing Louisville W13211015:267