Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group E

San Donato Tavarnelle

0 - 2

Camaiore Calcio

Our Tip

Match Events

58'

Bertelloni M.

82'

Nieri M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Camaiore Calcio in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Camaiore Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

San Donato Tavarnelle

Draws

Camaiore Calcio

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: San Donato Tavarnelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Camaiore Calcio have won more games recently than San Donato Tavarnelle.
Win probability leans San Donato Tavarnelle's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 23%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 68%

Camaiore Calcio Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Donato Tavarnelle	Camaiore Calcio
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	8
Draws	12	6
Losses	12	16
Goals Scored	0.88	1
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group E

San Donato Tavarnelle vs Camaiore Calcio

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 4 - 3

0:2

Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group E

Camaiore Calcio vs San Donato Tavarnelle

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 4 - 1

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Donato Tavarnelle Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Camaiore Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Bertelloni M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Nieri M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Donato Tavarnelle 95 / 100

Camaiore Calcio 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Donato Tavarnelle Camaiore Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Camaiore Calcio let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: San Donato Tavarnelle remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Camaiore Calcio registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Donato Tavarnelle VS Camaiore Calcio

0.88 Goals Scored 1

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13

38% Over 1.5 88%

13% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Grosseto	34	22	6	6	58:25	72
2	Tau	34	18	9	7	53:33	63
3	Prato	34	20	5	9	49:29	63
4	Siena	34	17	9	8	57:35	60
5	Seravezza Pozzi	34	15	12	7	42:29	57
6	Terranuova Traiana	34	14	9	11	28:30	51
7	Foligno	34	14	9	11	45:37	51
8	Scandicci	34	11	15	8	39:32	48
9	Montevarchi	34	10	16	8	28:32	46
10	Sporting Trestina	34	10	12	12	40:42	42
11	San Donato Tavarnelle	34	9	13	12	30:35	40
12	Ghiviborgo	34	10	10	14	42:44	40
13	Orvietana	34	9	11	14	33:37	38
14	Follonica Gavorrano	34	9	10	15	36:49	37
15	Camaiore Calcio	34	9	8	17	41:54	35
16	Poggibonsi	34	7	10	17	29:46	31
17	Cannara	34	6	8	20	24:59	26
18	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	34	2	16	16	20:46	22