Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Donato Tavarnelle vs Terranuova Traiana

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Tassi L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between San Donato Tavarnelle and Terranuova Traiana finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Terranuova Traiana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
San Donato Tavarnelle
17%
Draws
13%
Terranuova Traiana
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: San Donato Tavarnelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Terranuova Traiana come out ahead of San Donato Tavarnelle on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on San Donato Tavarnelle taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 68%
Terranuova Traiana Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Donato Tavarnelle Terranuova Traiana
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 11 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Terranuova Traiana
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Terranuova Traiana vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1:0
Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Terranuova Traiana
1:0
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Terranuova Traiana vs San Donato Tavarnelle
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Donato Tavarnelle Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Terranuova Traiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Tassi L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Donato Tavarnelle 77 / 100
Terranuova Traiana 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Donato Tavarnelle Terranuova Traiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: San Donato Tavarnelle remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

San Donato Tavarnelle found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Terranuova Traiana conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

San Donato Tavarnelle VS Terranuova Traiana
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Donato Tavarnelle

(Home)
03 May
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
26 Apr
Grosseto
0 : 2
San Donato Tavarnelle
19 Apr
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 0
Foligno
12 Apr
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 0
Ghiviborgo
02 Apr
Cannara
1 : 0
San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 6

Terranuova Traiana

(Away)
03 May
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 0
Orvietana
26 Apr
Tau
3 : 2
Terranuova Traiana
19 Apr
Terranuova Traiana
2 : 1
Camaiore Calcio
12 Apr
Montevarchi
1 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
03 Apr
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 0
Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosseto34226658:2572
2Tau34189753:3363
3Prato34205949:2963
4Siena34179857:3560
5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:2957
6Terranuova Traiana341491128:3051
7Foligno341491145:3751
8Scandicci341115839:3248
9Montevarchi341016828:3246
10Sporting Trestina3410121240:4242
11San Donato Tavarnelle349131230:3540
12Ghiviborgo3410101442:4440
13Orvietana349111433:3738
14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:4937
15Camaiore Calcio34981741:5435
16Poggibonsi347101729:4631
17Cannara34682024:5926
18Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro342161620:4622
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)