Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Felipe vs Copiapo Prediction & H2H Stats

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal de San Felipe, San Felipe
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Perez G.
37' Event
Lopez M.
59'
Sub
Ross C. In: Fernandez E.
Out: Ross C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between San Felipe and Copiapo finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Copiapo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
San Felipe
30%
Draws
47%
Copiapo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Copiapo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Copiapo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
San Felipe Clean Sheet 18%
Copiapo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Felipe Copiapo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.68 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Copiapo
1:4
May 10, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs San Felipe
2:1
Aug 3, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs San Felipe
0:0
Mar 14, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Copiapo
0:1
Jul 8, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Copiapo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Felipe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Copiapo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Espoz F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Felipe 32 / 100
Copiapo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Felipe Copiapo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Copiapo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Copiapo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

San Felipe scored in 46% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

San Felipe VS Copiapo
0.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
25% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

San Felipe

(Home)
26 Sept
San Felipe
1 : 4
Copiapo
05 Sept
Magallanes
0 : 0
San Felipe
29 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 0
Deportes Santa Cruz
23 Aug
Curico Unido
2 : 0
San Felipe
16 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 1
Cobreloa
Page 1 of 6

Copiapo

(Away)
26 Sept
San Felipe
1 : 4
Copiapo
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1
Magallanes
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1
Copiapo
30 Aug
Copiapo
0 : 4
Antofagasta
22 Aug
Recoleta
2 : 1
Copiapo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 25 12 9 4 43:27 45
2 S. Wanderers 25 12 8 5 40:26 44
3 San Luis 24 11 8 5 38:29 41
4 Magallanes 25 11 7 7 41:38 40
5 Antofagasta 25 10 8 7 42:26 38
6 Recoleta 25 10 8 7 36:33 38
7 San Marcos de Arica 25 9 9 7 31:23 36
8 U. Espanola 25 10 6 9 32:32 36
9 Copiapo 25 9 7 9 37:39 34
10 D. Puerto Montt 25 10 4 11 26:31 34
11 Deportes Temuco 25 8 8 9 40:35 32
12 Deportes Iquique 25 6 10 9 33:30 28
13 Curico Unido 25 6 9 10 22:38 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 25 4 10 11 26:38 22
15 San Felipe 24 5 7 12 16:41 22
16 Rangers 25 4 6 15 23:40 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)