Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro PayPal Park

San Jose Earthquakes II

0 - 1

Tacoma Defiance

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Bracken Serra G.

22'

Robles D.

53'

Phoenix C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between San Jose Earthquakes II and Tacoma Defiance finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tacoma Defiance.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

San Jose Earthquakes II

Draws

Tacoma Defiance

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: San Jose Earthquakes II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Tacoma Defiance haven't matched San Jose Earthquakes II's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on San Jose Earthquakes II taking it.
Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Tacoma Defiance have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

San Jose Earthquakes II Clean Sheet 16%

Tacoma Defiance Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Jose Earthquakes II	Tacoma Defiance
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	18	12
Draws	0	0
Losses	12	18
Goals Scored	3	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	3.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 MLS Next Pro

San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance

Possession: 49% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Mar 15, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Tacoma Defiance vs San Jose Earthquakes II

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Sep 28, 2025 MLS Next Pro

San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance

Possession: 56% - 43% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Jul 4, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Tacoma Defiance vs San Jose Earthquakes II

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

5:4

Mar 15, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Tacoma Defiance vs San Jose Earthquakes II

Possession: 55% - 43% Cards: 3 - 3

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Jose Earthquakes II Compare

Avg xG / game 2.31

Avg xA / game 1.5

Tacoma Defiance Compare

Top Goalscorer Gnaulati X.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Jose Earthquakes II 84 / 100

Tacoma Defiance 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Jose Earthquakes II Tacoma Defiance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Jose Earthquakes II found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Tacoma Defiance has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: San Jose Earthquakes II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Jose Earthquakes II VS Tacoma Defiance

3 Goals Scored 1.38

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 63%

88% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	19	14	5	35:29	39
2	New York Red Bulls II	19	10	9	40:29	32
3	New England Revolution II	17	11	6	23:20	32
4	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
5	CT United FC	18	10	8	33:32	28
6	Philadelphia Union II	19	9	10	21:23	26
7	Toronto FC II	19	8	11	30:36	25
8	FC Cincinnati 2	18	5	13	17:34	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	18	13	5	44:27	37
2	Orlando City B	19	12	7	40:33	35
3	Chattanooga	19	12	7	35:30	34
4	Atlanta United 2	18	9	9	38:28	30
5	Chicago Fire II	18	9	9	29:27	27
6	Huntsville City	18	8	10	31:35	25
7	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
8	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	19	12	7	25:23	37
2	Ventura County	19	11	8	34:27	32
3	Los Angeles FC 2	18	9	9	28:30	29
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	17	9	8	37:20	28
5	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
6	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Houston Dynamo 2	17	14	3	39:15	40
2	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
3	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
4	St. Louis City 2	19	10	9	30:32	29
5	North Texas	17	8	9	27:21	25
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	19	3	16	17:37	12

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	19	14	5	35:29	39
2	Crown Legacy	18	13	5	44:27	37
3	Orlando City B	19	12	7	40:33	35
4	Chattanooga	19	12	7	35:30	34
5	New York Red Bulls II	19	10	9	40:29	32
6	New England Revolution II	17	11	6	23:20	32
7	Atlanta United 2	18	9	9	38:28	30
8	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
9	CT United FC	18	10	8	33:32	28
10	Chicago Fire II	18	9	9	29:27	27
11	Philadelphia Union II	19	9	10	21:23	26
12	Toronto FC II	19	8	11	30:36	25
13	Huntsville City	18	8	10	31:35	25
14	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
15	FC Cincinnati 2	18	5	13	17:34	14
16	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Houston Dynamo 2	17	14	3	39:15	40
2	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
3	Portland Timbers 2	19	12	7	25:23	37
4	Ventura County	19	11	8	34:27	32
5	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
6	St. Louis City 2	19	10	9	30:32	29
7	Los Angeles FC 2	18	9	9	28:30	29
8	San Jose Earthquakes II	17	9	8	37:20	28
9	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
10	North Texas	17	8	9	27:21	25
11	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	19	3	16	17:37	12