Sport Picks

Argentina

Reserve League

Gimnasia Mendoza 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Lorenzo 2 play Gimnasia Mendoza 2 in the Reserve League. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Lorenzo 2 averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. Gimnasia Mendoza 2 averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, San Lorenzo 2 won 1, Gimnasia Mendoza 2 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 18, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for San Lorenzo 2 and 1.13 for Gimnasia Mendoza 2. This points to a San Lorenzo 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

San Lorenzo 2

28%

Draws

28%

Gimnasia Mendoza 2

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: San Lorenzo 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

San Lorenzo 2 picked up more points recently compared to Gimnasia Mendoza 2.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

San Lorenzo 2 Clean Sheet 21%

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Lorenzo 2	Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Matches Played	29	18
Wins	12	6
Draws	8	5
Losses	9	7
Goals Scored	1.55	0.89
Goals Conceded	1.34	1.06
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Reserve League

San Lorenzo 2 vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Lorenzo 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Salinardi Branco

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Orellano L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Lorenzo 2 44 / 100

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Lorenzo 2 Gimnasia Mendoza 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: San Lorenzo 2 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Lorenzo 2 attacking → ← attacking Gimnasia Mendoza 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Lorenzo 2 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 let in goals in 61% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

San Lorenzo 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 23

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Velez Sarsfield 2	18	14	2	2	40:11	44
2	River Plate 2	18	9	4	5	24:17	31
3	Racing Club 2	18	8	6	4	27:23	30
4	Atl. Tucuman 2	18	9	3	6	26:25	30
5	Union de Santa Fe 2	18	7	8	3	23:19	29
6	Argentinos Jrs 2	18	7	7	4	24:18	28
7	Talleres Cordoba 2	18	7	5	6	27:21	26
8	Rosario Central 2	18	7	5	6	25:22	26
9	Instituto 2	18	5	9	4	20:21	24
10	San Lorenzo 2	18	6	6	6	22:24	24
11	Gimnasia L.P. 2	18	6	5	7	19:17	23
12	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	18	6	5	7	16:19	23
13	Banfield 2	18	6	5	7	14:18	23
14	Aldosivi 2	18	5	3	10	17:28	18
15	Barracas Central 2	18	4	5	9	11:24	17
16	Sarmiento Junin 2	18	4	4	10	16:26	16
17	Tigre 2	18	4	4	10	15:25	16
18	Godoy Cruz 2	18	4	3	11	20:30	15

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Boca Juniors 2	18	11	3	4	33:11	36
2	Independiente 2	18	11	3	4	36:16	36
3	Lanus 2	18	11	2	5	39:24	35
4	Newells Old Boys 2	18	10	4	4	26:16	34
5	Quilmes 2	18	10	3	5	20:12	33
6	Defensa y Justicia 2	18	9	5	4	38:24	32
7	Estudiantes L.P. 2	18	8	4	6	25:16	28
8	CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2	18	8	3	7	27:29	27
9	Huracan 2	18	7	5	6	23:17	26
10	Platense 2	18	7	5	6	17:20	26
11	Deportivo Riestra 2	18	7	4	7	25:18	25
12	Ind. Rivadavia 2	18	7	3	8	23:23	24
13	Ferro 2	18	6	4	8	20:23	22
14	Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2	18	5	4	9	21:33	19
15	Colon Santa Fe 2	18	5	3	10	15:23	18
16	Atl. Rafaela 2	18	3	3	12	21:36	12
17	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	18	2	5	11	9:32	11
18	San Martin S.J. 2	18	2	2	14	16:59	8