Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Lorenzo vs 2 de Mayo

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Gunther Vogel
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Lorenzo play 2 de Mayo in the Copa de Primera. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Lorenzo averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. 2 de Mayo averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, San Lorenzo won 2, 2 de Mayo won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 22, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for San Lorenzo and 1.50 for 2 de Mayo. This points to a 2 de Mayo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
San Lorenzo
28%
Draws
37%
2 de Mayo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: 2 de Mayo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • San Lorenzo picked up more points recently compared to 2 de Mayo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 16%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Lorenzo 2 de Mayo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.73 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs San Lorenzo
0:1
Mar 17, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs 2 de Mayo
1:1
Sep 8, 2023 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs 2 de Mayo
0:1
Jun 5, 2023 Division Intermedia
2 de Mayo vs San Lorenzo
2:1
Jul 11, 2022 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs 2 de Mayo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Lorenzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cespedes V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

2 de Mayo Compare

Top Goalscorer Farina A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Lorenzo 35 / 100
2 de Mayo 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Lorenzo 2 de Mayo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: 2 de Mayo or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +20.8%
3.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Lorenzo attacking → ← attacking 2 de Mayo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Lorenzo scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

2 de Mayo let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

San Lorenzo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

2 de Mayo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 34
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115