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San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Santani

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Villamayor H.

AI Match Summary

San Lorenzo in this Division Intermedia 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Lorenzo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
San Lorenzo
6%
Draws
90%
Deportivo Santani
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportivo Santani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo Santani lately — more wins on the board than San Lorenzo.
  • Deportivo Santani are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 26%
Deportivo Santani Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Lorenzo Deportivo Santani
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.43 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.43 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.14 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2025 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Santani
1:0
Jun 21, 2025 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Santani vs San Lorenzo
0:1
Aug 29, 2024 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Santani
3:2
May 23, 2024 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Santani vs San Lorenzo
1:0
Jul 23, 2023 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Santani vs San Lorenzo
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Lorenzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Villamayor H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.33
Avg xA / game 0.21

Deportivo Santani Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Lorenzo 10 / 100
Deportivo Santani 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Lorenzo Deportivo Santani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Lorenzo scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Deportivo Santani let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

San Lorenzo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Lorenzo VS Deportivo Santani
0.43 Goals Scored 0.5
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.75
29% Over 1.5 50%
29% Over 2.5 0%
14% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rubio Nu30179446:2160
2San Lorenzo30158738:2253
3Deportivo Capiata301410637:2152
412 de Junio301212636:2648
5Pastoreo301011934:3141
6Resistencia30913846:5040
7Guairena FC301161341:3839
8Sol de America309111034:3538
9Tacuary301081228:3638
10Club River Plate30813935:3937
11Deportivo Santani308111133:3535
12Encarnacion FC308111133:4235
13Sportivo Carapegua307131039:4634
14Independiente FBC30971432:4034
15Fernando de la Mora306101424:4028
16Guarani de Fram305111435:4926