Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Luis vs Magallanes

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Lucio Fariña Fernández
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Luis play Magallanes in the Liga de Ascenso. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Luis averaged 2 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Magallanes averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, San Luis won 1, Magallanes won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 25, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for San Luis and 1.38 for Magallanes. This points to a San Luis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
San Luis
6%
Draws
4%
Magallanes
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: San Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Magallanes has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to San Luis.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for San Luis.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga de Ascenso provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
San Luis Clean Sheet 17%
Magallanes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Luis Magallanes
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 13 4
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs Magallanes
2:1
Aug 8, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs Magallanes
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs San Luis
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs San Luis
7:1
Jun 3, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs Magallanes
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Luis Compare

Top Goalscorer Parada S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Acosta C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Magallanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Peraza F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Luis 84 / 100
Magallanes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Luis Magallanes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Luis scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Magallanes let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

San Luis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Magallanes lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Luis VS Magallanes
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa1585230:1729
2S. Wanderers1575329:1826
3San Marcos de Arica1567219:1125
4Deportes Temuco1565426:1823
5Antofagasta1565422:1623
6San Luis1565424:2123
7D. Puerto Montt1572617:1623
8U. Espanola1564521:1922
9Magallanes1564524:2422
10Recoleta1564524:2422
11Copiapo1564521:2322
12Curico Unido1546516:2418
13San Felipe1544713:2716
14Deportes Iquique1527619:2313
15Deportes Santa Cruz1526719:2612
16Rangers15031211:283