Sport Picks
San Luis vs Magallanes
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Lucio Fariña Fernández, Quillota 
Match Events
2'
2'
Peraza F.
24'
24'
Yanez F.
32'
32'
Parada S.
AI Match Summary
San Luis in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Luis.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Luis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to San Luis lately — more wins on the board than Magallanes.
- Win probability leans San Luis's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Magallanes have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
San Luis Clean Sheet 20%
Magallanes Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Luis | Magallanes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 25, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs Magallanes
2:1
Aug 8, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs Magallanes
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs San Luis
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs San Luis
7:1
Jun 3, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs Magallanes
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Luis Compare
Top Goalscorer Parada S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Acosta C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Magallanes Compare
Top Goalscorer Peraza F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Luis 40 / 100
Magallanes 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Luis Magallanes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Luis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Luis's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Magallanes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
San Luis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Luis VS Magallanes
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
San Luis
(Home) 15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1 Antofagasta
05 Sept
San Luis
4 : 2 Cobreloa
30 Aug
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1 San Luis
24 Aug
San Luis
0 : 1 S. Wanderers
17 Aug
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 2 San Luis
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1 Antofagasta
05 Sept
San Luis
4 : 2 Cobreloa
24 Aug
San Luis
0 : 1 S. Wanderers
13 Aug
San Luis
1 : 1 Deportes Temuco
31 Jul
San Luis
1 : 1 Rangers
Page 1 of 4
Magallanes
(Away) 13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1 Magallanes
05 Sept
Magallanes
0 : 0 San Felipe
29 Aug
S. Wanderers
2 : 1 Magallanes
22 Aug
Magallanes
1 : 0 Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1 Magallanes
29 Aug
S. Wanderers
2 : 1 Magallanes
15 Aug
Rangers
2 : 3 Magallanes
09 Aug
Deportes Temuco
3 : 4 Magallanes
26 Jul
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 0 Magallanes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Wanderers | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 40:25 | 44 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 42:27 | 42 |
| 3 | San Luis | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 38:29 | 41 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41:38 | 40 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 42:26 | 38 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 36:33 | 38 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31:23 | 36 |
| 8 | U. Espanola | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32:32 | 36 |
| 9 | D. Puerto Montt | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26:31 | 34 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40:35 | 32 |
| 11 | Copiapo | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:38 | 31 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 33:30 | 28 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22:38 | 24 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 26:38 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 15:37 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23:40 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
