Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Del Campo O.
11'
11'
Nouhi A.
18'
18'
Crespo U.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between San Marcial and Vianes finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Marcial
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Vianes carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
San Marcial Clean Sheet 68%
Vianes Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Marcial | Vianes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Vianes
1:0
Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Vianes
2:2
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Vianes vs San Marcial
1:0
Apr 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Vianes
1:1
Nov 27, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Vianes vs San Marcial
4:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Marcial Compare
Top Goalscorer Del Campo O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Samaniego R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Vianes Compare
Top Goalscorer Nouhi A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Crespo U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Marcial 41 / 100
Vianes 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Marcial Vianes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Marcial Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
San Marcial found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Vianes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
San Marcial went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Marcial VS Vianes
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
San Marcial
(Home) 18 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 1 Comillas CF
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0 San Marcial
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0 Vianes
10 May
San Marcial
0 : 2 Anguiano
03 May
Haro Deportivo
0 : 0 San Marcial
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 1 Comillas CF
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0 Vianes
10 May
San Marcial
0 : 2 Anguiano
26 Apr
San Marcial
4 : 3 Agoncillo
12 Apr
San Marcial
0 : 4 CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 3
Vianes
(Away) 20 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2 Vianes
13 Sept
Vianes
1 : 2 Pradejon
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0 Vianes
10 May
Vianes
2 : 1 Agoncillo
03 May
Villegas
1 : 1 Vianes
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2 Vianes
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0 Vianes
03 May
Villegas
1 : 1 Vianes
19 Apr
Comillas CF
4 : 0 Vianes
29 Mar
San Marcial
2 : 2 Vianes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 34 | 26 | 8 | 0 | 99:22 | 86 |
| 2 | Varea | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:25 | 73 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 72:26 | 72 |
| 4 | CD Calahorra | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 86:26 | 63 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 54:41 | 61 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 49:36 | 60 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54:46 | 51 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 59:49 | 47 |
| 9 | Vianes | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Yague | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 48:52 | 40 |
| 11 | San Marcial | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39:59 | 39 |
| 12 | Berceo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 42:50 | 39 |
| 13 | CDFC La Calzada | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 40:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Comillas CF | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 32:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Pradejon | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 30:49 | 35 |
| 16 | Villegas | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 36:66 | 28 |
| 17 | Autol | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 20:80 | 18 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 34 | 0 | 11 | 23 | 27:86 | 11 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
