Sport Picks
San Marcos de Arica vs S. Wanderers
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Carlos Dittborn, Arica 
Match Events
16'
16'
Maidana A.
19'
19'
Maidana A.
19'
19'
Maidana A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Marcos de Arica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to San Marcos de Arica lately — more wins on the board than S. Wanderers.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on San Marcos de Arica taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
San Marcos de Arica Clean Sheet 18%
S. Wanderers Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Marcos de Arica | S. Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 16, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs S. Wanderers
0:0
Aug 4, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs S. Wanderers
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica
2:0
May 12, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs S. Wanderers
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Marcos de Arica 41 / 100
S. Wanderers 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Marcos de Arica S. Wanderers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
S. Wanderers let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
San Marcos de Arica scored in 70% of their last 27 games.
S. Wanderers's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
San Marcos de Arica VS S. Wanderers
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
San Marcos de Arica
(Home) 06 Jul
Limache
4 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
27 Jun
San Marcos de Arica
0 : 1 Coquimbo
20 Jun
San Marcos de Arica
1 : 3 Limache
06 Jun
San Luis
1 : 0 San Marcos de Arica
31 May
San Marcos de Arica
0 : 1 Deportes Temuco
Page 1 of 6
27 Jun
San Marcos de Arica
0 : 1 Coquimbo
20 Jun
San Marcos de Arica
1 : 3 Limache
31 May
San Marcos de Arica
0 : 1 Deportes Temuco
17 May
San Marcos de Arica
1 : 1 Antofagasta
05 May
San Marcos de Arica
1 : 0 Recoleta
Page 1 of 3
S. Wanderers
(Away) 25 Jul
S. Wanderers
2 : 0 San Felipe
05 Jul
S. Wanderers
2 : 3 U. De Chile
28 Jun
Union La Calera
4 : 0 S. Wanderers
21 Jun
U. De Chile
4 : 1 S. Wanderers
06 Jun
Copiapo
1 : 0 S. Wanderers
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Union La Calera
4 : 0 S. Wanderers
21 Jun
U. De Chile
4 : 1 S. Wanderers
06 Jun
Copiapo
1 : 0 S. Wanderers
23 May
Rangers
0 : 2 S. Wanderers
16 May
Curico Unido
0 : 3 S. Wanderers
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 34:19 | 32 |
| 2 | S. Wanderers | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 31:18 | 29 |
| 3 | San Luis | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26:22 | 26 |
| 4 | San Marcos de Arica | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 5 | Deportes Temuco | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Antofagasta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | D. Puerto Montt | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 23 |
| 8 | U. Espanola | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 22 |
| 9 | Magallanes | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24:24 | 22 |
| 10 | Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24:24 | 22 |
| 11 | Copiapo | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:23 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:26 | 18 |
| 13 | Deportes Iquique | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 20:23 | 16 |
| 14 | San Felipe | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13:29 | 16 |
| 15 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 21:30 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11:28 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)