Sport Picks
San Marcos de Arica vs San Felipe
Chile
Liga de Ascenso 2025 Estadio Carlos Dittborn, Arica 
Match Events
33'
33'
Campos R.
40'
40'
Camarda M.
45'
45'
Velazco F.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Ascenso 2025 game between San Marcos de Arica and San Felipe finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Marcos de Arica.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and San Marcos de Arica come out ahead of San Felipe on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
San Marcos de Arica Clean Sheet 20%
San Felipe Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Marcos de Arica | San Felipe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 23, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs San Marcos de Arica
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs San Felipe
1:0
Jun 7, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs San Marcos de Arica
1:2
Oct 20, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs San Felipe
1:2
Jun 4, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs San Marcos de Arica
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Marcos de Arica Compare
Top Goalscorer Camarda M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
San Felipe Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Marcos de Arica 32 / 100
San Felipe 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Marcos de Arica San Felipe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Marcos de Arica scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
San Felipe let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
San Marcos de Arica went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Marcos de Arica VS San Felipe
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Marcos de Arica
(Home) 26 Jul
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 0 Magallanes
06 Jul
Limache
4 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
27 Jun
San Marcos de Arica
0 : 1 Coquimbo
20 Jun
San Marcos de Arica
1 : 3 Limache
06 Jun
San Luis
1 : 0 San Marcos de Arica
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 0 Magallanes
27 Jun
San Marcos de Arica
0 : 1 Coquimbo
20 Jun
San Marcos de Arica
1 : 3 Limache
31 May
San Marcos de Arica
0 : 1 Deportes Temuco
17 May
San Marcos de Arica
1 : 1 Antofagasta
Page 1 of 3
San Felipe
(Away) 25 Jul
S. Wanderers
2 : 0 San Felipe
04 Jul
San Felipe
1 : 1 Union La Calera
28 Jun
U. De Chile
2 : 0 San Felipe
21 Jun
Union La Calera
0 : 2 San Felipe
08 Jun
U. Espanola
2 : 2 San Felipe
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
S. Wanderers
2 : 0 San Felipe
28 Jun
U. De Chile
2 : 0 San Felipe
21 Jun
Union La Calera
0 : 2 San Felipe
08 Jun
U. Espanola
2 : 2 San Felipe
24 May
Deportes Temuco
5 : 0 San Felipe
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | U. De Concepcion | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 41:26 | 55 |
| 2 | Copiapo | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 38:20 | 52 |
| 3 | Cobreloa | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 44:42 | 50 |
| 4 | San Marcos de Arica | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 39:35 | 48 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 43:33 | 43 |
| 6 | D. Concepcion | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 42:38 | 43 |
| 7 | Rangers | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 35:35 | 43 |
| 8 | S. Wanderers | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 41:37 | 41 |
| 9 | San Luis | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 30:35 | 39 |
| 10 | Magallanes | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:33 | 35 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 28:37 | 35 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 34:39 | 33 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 30:39 | 31 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30:38 | 30 |
| 16 | S. Morning | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | 29 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)