Sport Picks
San Marino Academy U22 vs Tre Penne
San Marino
Campionato Sammarinese 
Match Events
11'
11'
Badalassi I.
Assist: Pastorelli L.
28'
28'
Tamagnini S.
35'
35'
Berardi F.
AI Match Summary
The Campionato Sammarinese game between San Marino Academy U22 and Tre Penne finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tre Penne.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tre Penne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Tre Penne carry the better recent record into this one.
- Tre Penne are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Tre Penne here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
San Marino Academy U22 Clean Sheet 10%
Tre Penne Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Marino Academy U22 | Tre Penne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 3 | 19 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 20 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
San Marino Academy U22 vs Tre Penne
2:3
Sep 20, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs San Marino Academy U22
1:0
Apr 18, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Marino Academy U22 vs Tre Penne
0:2
Dec 21, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs San Marino Academy U22
3:2
Jan 24, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
San Marino Academy U22 vs Tre Penne
1:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Marino Academy U22 Compare
Top Goalscorer Tamagnini S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Tre Penne Compare
Top Goalscorer Badalassi I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Berardi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Marino Academy U22 10 / 100
Tre Penne 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Marino Academy U22 Tre Penne
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
San Marino Academy U22 scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Tre Penne has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.
Recent resilience: San Marino Academy U22 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Marino Academy U22 VS Tre Penne
0.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
San Marino Academy U22
(Home) 25 Apr
San Marino Academy U22
1 : 1 Cailungo
19 Apr
Folgore
3 : 0 San Marino Academy U22
11 Apr
San Giovanni
1 : 0 San Marino Academy U22
07 Apr
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 3 Fiorentino
22 Mar
Juvenes/Dogana
0 : 0 San Marino Academy U22
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
San Marino Academy U22
1 : 1 Cailungo
07 Apr
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 3 Fiorentino
15 Mar
San Marino Academy U22
1 : 2 SP Domagnano
01 Mar
San Marino Academy U22
1 : 1 SS Pennarossa
25 Jan
San Marino Academy U22
2 : 3 Tre Penne
Page 1 of 3
Tre Penne
(Away) 16 May
Tre Penne
3 : 1 SP Domagnano
12 May
Tre Penne
0 : 1 La Fiorita
09 May
La Fiorita
1 : 1 Tre Penne
06 May
SP Cosmos
0 : 0 Tre Penne
03 May
Tre Penne
0 : 0 SP Cosmos
Page 1 of 7
09 May
La Fiorita
1 : 1 Tre Penne
06 May
SP Cosmos
0 : 0 Tre Penne
19 Apr
AC Libertas
1 : 3 Tre Penne
15 Mar
SS Murata
0 : 4 Tre Penne
08 Mar
SP Domagnano
1 : 2 Tre Penne
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)