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San Marino Academy W vs Parma W

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Esteve A.
40' Event
Cox D.
45' Event
Pinther V.

AI Match Summary

Parma W in this Coppa Italia Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
San Marino Academy W
44%
Draws
20%
Parma W
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Marino Academy W lately — more wins on the board than Parma W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • San Marino Academy W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Parma W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Parma W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
San Marino Academy W Clean Sheet 20%
Parma W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marino Academy W Parma W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 13
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 Coppa Italia Women
San Marino Academy W vs Parma W
0:4
Apr 12, 2025 Serie B Women
San Marino Academy W vs Parma W
0:4
Nov 17, 2024 Serie B Women
Parma W vs San Marino Academy W
5:1
Sep 8, 2024 Coppa Italia Women
San Marino Academy W vs Parma W
0:3
Mar 10, 2024 Serie B Women
Parma W vs San Marino Academy W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marino Academy W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Parma W Compare

Top Goalscorer Esteve A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cox D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marino Academy W 36 / 100
Parma W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marino Academy W Parma W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

San Marino Academy W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Parma W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Parma W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Marino Academy W VS Parma W
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marino Academy W

(Home)
17 May
Venezia W
6 : 4
San Marino Academy W
10 May
San Marino Academy W
1 : 5
Como 1907 W
03 May
San Marino Academy W
3 : 0
Freedom W
26 Apr
Frosinone W
2 : 1
San Marino Academy W
04 Apr
San Marino Academy W
1 : 2
Trastevere Calcio W
Page 1 of 6

Parma W

(Away)
17 May
Parma W
1 : 3
Juventus W
10 May
AC Milan W
3 : 1
Parma W
03 May
Parma W
1 : 3
Lazio W
25 Apr
Como W
1 : 1
Parma W
04 Apr
Parma W
2 : 0
Ternana W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Cesena W-
TBD-
TBD-
Brescia W-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Juventus W-
Napoli W-
TBD-
Venezia W1
Frosinone W0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sassuolo W-
Genoa W-
TBD-
TBD-
Hellas Verona W-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
AC Milan W-
Bologna W-
TBD-
TBD-
Freedom W-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fiorentina W-
Lumezzane W-
TBD-
TBD-
Arezzo W-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
AS Roma W-
Parma W-
TBD-
TBD-
San Marino Academy W-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lazio W-
Trastevere Calcio W3
Vicenza W2
TBD-
Ternana W-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Como W-
Como 1907 W-
TBD-
TBD-
RES Roma W-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Inter W-
1/16-finals
Cesena W2
Brescia W1
TBD-
Juventus W-
Napoli W5
Venezia W1
TBD-
Sassuolo W-
Genoa W4
Hellas Verona W0
TBD-
AC Milan W-
Bologna W4
Freedom W3
TBD-
Fiorentina W-
Lumezzane W1
Arezzo W0
TBD-
AS Roma W-
Parma W4
San Marino Academy W0
TBD-
Lazio W-
Trastevere Calcio W0
Ternana W3
TBD-
Como W-
Como 1907 W3
RES Roma W2
TBD-
Inter W-
1/8-finals
Cesena W1
Juventus W7
Napoli W3
Sassuolo W1
Genoa W2
AC Milan W3
Bologna W1
Fiorentina W2
Lumezzane W1
AS Roma W4
Parma W0
Lazio W1
Ternana W2
Como W1
Como 1907 W1
Inter W2
Quarter-finals
Juventus W4
Napoli W2
AC Milan W1
Fiorentina W2
AS Roma W3
Lazio W0
Ternana W0
Inter W6
Semi-finals
Juventus W4
Fiorentina W1
AS Roma W3
Inter W2
Final
Juventus W0
AS Roma W1