Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Marino Calcio vs United Riccione

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Arcopinto A.
47' Event
Muro A.
80' Event
Gennari M.

AI Match Summary

San Marino Calcio in this Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Marino Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
San Marino Calcio
6%
Draws
4%
United Riccione
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: San Marino Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • San Marino Calcio have won more games recently than United Riccione.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on San Marino Calcio taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
San Marino Calcio Clean Sheet 13%
United Riccione Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marino Calcio United Riccione
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 0.38 0
Goals Conceded 2.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Serie D - Group D
United Riccione vs San Marino Calcio
0:3
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group D
San Marino Calcio vs United Riccione
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marino Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Arcopinto A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

United Riccione Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marino Calcio 84 / 100
United Riccione 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marino Calcio United Riccione

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

United Riccione's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

United Riccione's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

San Marino Calcio's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

San Marino Calcio VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marino Calcio

(Home)
17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1
San Marino Calcio
03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0
Sammaurese
26 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2
San Marino Calcio
19 Apr
San Marino Calcio
1 : 3
Teramo
12 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 2
San Marino Calcio
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United Riccione

(Away)
11 May
United Riccione
0 : 3
San Marino Calcio
27 Apr
Sammaurese
2 : 0
United Riccione
17 Apr
United Riccione
0 : 3
Piacenza
13 Apr
Imolese
3 : 1
United Riccione
06 Apr
United Riccione
0 : 3
Sasso Marconi
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Forli FC34273475:2484
2Ravenna34235665:2774
3Lentigione341811548:2765
4Tau34189754:2763
5Pistoiese34187945:2361
6Imolese341411952:4453
7Cittadella Vis Modena341381348:4047
8Piacenza3410121238:4042
9Prato341191434:3842
10Tuttocuoio3410121232:4342
11SCD Progresso3410111324:3241
12San Marino Calcio341081638:5138
13Sasso Marconi349101539:5137
14Corticella341061837:6536
15Sammaurese347101727:3731
16Fiorenzuola34752221:4626
17Zenith Prato341081636:5123
18United Riccione34572222:6922
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Out)