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San Martin S.J. vs Deportivo Madryn

Argentina Argentina

Copa Argentina
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Lattanzio C.
46' Event
Monje L.
57'
Sub
Montagna E. In: Machado C.
Out: Montagna E.

AI Match Summary

The Copa Argentina game between San Martin S.J. and Deportivo Madryn finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Martin S.J..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
San Martin S.J.
33%
Draws
27%
Deportivo Madryn
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: San Martin S.J.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Madryn have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — San Martin S.J. are scoring more at 1.38.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on San Martin S.J. taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Argentina fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
San Martin S.J. Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Madryn Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin S.J. Deportivo Madryn
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Copa Argentina
San Martin S.J. vs Deportivo Madryn
2:0
Apr 23, 2022 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Deportivo Madryn
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin S.J. Compare

Top Goalscorer Monje L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Murillo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Deportivo Madryn Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin S.J. 50 / 100
Deportivo Madryn 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin S.J. Deportivo Madryn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

San Martin S.J. scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Deportivo Madryn's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

San Martin S.J. went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Martin S.J. VS Deportivo Madryn
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
San Lorenzo5
Deportivo Rincon0
Deportivo Riestra1
Deportivo Maipu0
Newells Old Boys0
Acassuso2
Gimnasia L.P.4
Deportivo Camioneros1
Banfield3
Real Pilar0
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto0
San Martin T.1
Godoy Cruz0
Deportivo Moron1
Argentinos Jrs1
Midland2
Racing Club1
San Martin Formosa0
Defensa y Justicia2
Chaco For Ever1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)2
Gimnasia Jujuy3
CA Belgrano de Cordoba3
Atl. Rafaela0
Velez Sarsfield4
Deportivo Armenio1
Gimnasia Mendoza0
Gimnasia y Tiro1
Sarmiento Junin1
Tristan Suarez0
Boca Juniors2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy0
River Plate1
Ciudad Bolivar0
Aldosivi3
San Miguel0
Ind. Rivadavia2
CA Estudiantes0
Tigre2
Claypole0
Talleres Cordoba2
Argentino de Merlo0
Atl. Tucuman2
Sportivo Barracas1
Union de Santa Fe2
Agropecuario0
Independiente4
Biblioteca Atenas2
Platense1
Argentino MM0
San Martin S.J.2
Deportivo Madryn0
Instituto2
Atletico Atlanta0
Lanus4
Sarmiento de La Banda1
Estudiantes L.P.4
Ituzaingo0
Rosario Central2
Sportivo Belgrano0
Barracas Central3
Temperley2
Huracan2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca1
1/16-finals
San Lorenzo1
Deportivo Riestra2
Acassuso0
Gimnasia L.P.3
Banfield2
San Martin T.1
Deportivo Moron1
Midland2
Racing Club4
Defensa y Justicia1
Gimnasia Jujuy2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba3
Velez Sarsfield2
Gimnasia y Tiro0
Sarmiento Junin0
Boca Juniors2
River Plate1
Aldosivi3
Ind. Rivadavia1
Tigre0
Talleres Cordoba0
Atl. Tucuman3
Union de Santa Fe0
Independiente2
Platense1
San Martin S.J.0
Instituto2
Lanus1
Estudiantes L.P.3
Rosario Central0
Barracas Central1
Huracan0
1/8-finals
Deportivo Riestra-
Gimnasia L.P.-
Banfield-
Midland-
Racing Club-
CA Belgrano de Cordoba-
Velez Sarsfield-
Boca Juniors-
Aldosivi-
Ind. Rivadavia-
Atl. Tucuman-
Independiente-
Platense-
Instituto-
Estudiantes L.P.-
Barracas Central-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-