Sport Picks
San Miguel vs Almirante Brown
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Malvinas Argentinas, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
44'
44'
Ferrero J.
62'
62'
Cruz A.
63'
63'
Sub
Vega L. In: Pascual L.
Out: Vega L.
AI Match Summary
San Miguel in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Miguel.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Miguel haven't matched Almirante Brown's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 24%
Almirante Brown Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Miguel | Almirante Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 15 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Miguel vs Almirante Brown
1:0
Mar 28, 2020 Primera B
San Miguel vs Almirante Brown
0:0
Oct 13, 2019 Primera B
Almirante Brown vs San Miguel
3:0
Mar 2, 2019 Primera B
Almirante Brown vs San Miguel
0:0
Sep 21, 2018 Primera B
San Miguel vs Almirante Brown
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Miguel Compare
Top Goalscorer Juarez D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Almirante Brown Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Miguel 37 / 100
Almirante Brown 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Miguel Almirante Brown
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ALM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: San Miguel stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
San Miguel scored in 57% of their last 28 games.
Almirante Brown let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
San Miguel VS Almirante Brown
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
San Miguel
(Home) 11 Jul
San Miguel
0 : 1 Ferro
05 Jul
Central Norte
1 : 1 San Miguel
20 Jun
Acassuso
0 : 2 San Miguel
14 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 2 San Miguel
06 Jun
San Miguel
0 : 0 Defensores de Belgrano
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
San Miguel
0 : 1 Ferro
06 Jun
San Miguel
0 : 0 Defensores de Belgrano
23 May
San Miguel
1 : 0 Almirante Brown
09 May
San Miguel
1 : 1 CA Estudiantes
25 Apr
San Miguel
0 : 2 Los Andes
Page 1 of 3
Almirante Brown
(Away) 17 Jul
Almirante Brown
0 : 0 CA Estudiantes
11 Jul
All Boys
1 : 1 Almirante Brown
04 Jul
Almirante Brown
1 : 0 Los Andes
21 Jun
Almirante Brown
3 : 1 CA Mitre
14 Jun
Almirante Brown
1 : 0 Godoy Cruz
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
All Boys
1 : 1 Almirante Brown
07 Jun
Deportivo Moron
1 : 0 Almirante Brown
23 May
San Miguel
1 : 0 Almirante Brown
10 May
Acassuso
0 : 0 Almirante Brown
28 Apr
Ferro
0 : 1 Almirante Brown
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 25:14 | 43 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 29:19 | 35 |
| 3 | Colon Santa Fe | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 27:17 | 35 |
| 4 | Los Andes | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 19:8 | 32 |
| 5 | Ciudad Bolivar | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 19:16 | 31 |
| 6 | CA Estudiantes | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 18:16 | 31 |
| 7 | Almirante Brown | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 15:13 | 31 |
| 8 | Deportivo Madryn | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 27:22 | 29 |
| 9 | Godoy Cruz | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20:17 | 28 |
| 10 | San Miguel | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 17:21 | 25 |
| 11 | Racing Cordoba | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 20:25 | 24 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 14:18 | 23 |
| 13 | All Boys | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 13:20 | 22 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 20:27 | 21 |
| 15 | San Telmo | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 15:23 | 19 |
| 17 | Central Norte | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 12:21 | 19 |
| 18 | Chaco For Ever | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17:26 | 16 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:22 | 38 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 36 |
| 3 | Temperley | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 21:17 | 34 |
| 4 | Tristan Suarez | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 17:11 | 33 |
| 5 | Midland | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21:15 | 30 |
| 6 | San Martin T. | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 19:15 | 30 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 27:21 | 29 |
| 8 | Atl. Rafaela | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 15:18 | 27 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:19 | 26 |
| 10 | Nueva Chicago | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 18:18 | 26 |
| 11 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 19:21 | 25 |
| 12 | Almagro | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 16:22 | 25 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 18:16 | 24 |
| 14 | Colegiales | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 18:20 | 23 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 16:21 | 23 |
| 16 | Patronato | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 13:17 | 22 |
| 17 | Agropecuario | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 15:25 | 20 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18:34 | 19 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)