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San Miguel vs Almirante Brown Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Malvinas Argentinas, Buenos Aires
San Miguel Logo

San Miguel

1 - 0
FT
Almirante Brown Logo

Almirante Brown

Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Ferrero J.
62'
Cruz A.
63'
Sub
Vega L. In: Pascual L.
Out: Vega L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Miguel in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Miguel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
San Miguel
35%
Draws
46%
Almirante Brown
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Almirante Brown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • San Miguel haven't matched Almirante Brown's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 68%
Almirante Brown Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Miguel Almirante Brown
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 4 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.72 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Miguel vs Almirante Brown
1:0
Mar 28, 2020 Primera B
San Miguel vs Almirante Brown
0:0
Oct 13, 2019 Primera B
Almirante Brown vs San Miguel
3:0
Mar 2, 2019 Primera B
Almirante Brown vs San Miguel
0:0
Sep 21, 2018 Primera B
San Miguel vs Almirante Brown
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Miguel Compare

Top Goalscorer Juarez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Almirante Brown Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Miguel 42 / 100
Almirante Brown 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Miguel Almirante Brown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Miguel's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Almirante Brown let in goals in 43% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Recent resilience: San Miguel stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Miguel VS Almirante Brown
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Miguel

(Home)
03 Oct
San Miguel
0 : 2
CA Mitre
26 Sept
CA Estudiantes
2 : 1
San Miguel
19 Sept
San Miguel
1 : 1
All Boys
13 Sept
Los Andes
1 : 1
San Miguel
06 Sept
San Miguel
1 : 2
Godoy Cruz
Page 1 of 6

Almirante Brown

(Away)
26 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 1
Acassuso
20 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0
Almirante Brown
13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0
Ferro
06 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 0
Almirante Brown
30 Aug
Almirante Brown
1 : 0
Deportivo Madryn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
4 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
14 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
15 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
16 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)