Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Sebastian Reyes vs UD Logrones

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, San Sebastián de los Reyes
Sat, May 30, 2026
1 - 1
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Garcia M.
(Penalty)
114' Event
Cabetas E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
San Sebastian Reyes
22%
Draws
60%
UD Logrones
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: UD Logrones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Sebastian Reyes lately — more wins on the board than UD Logrones.
  • Win probability leans UD Logrones's way, sitting at 60%.
  • San Sebastian Reyes have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor UD Logrones, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
San Sebastian Reyes Clean Sheet 17%
UD Logrones Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Sebastian Reyes UD Logrones
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 16
Draws 9 7
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
San Sebastian Reyes vs UD Logrones
1:1
May 24, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
UD Logrones vs San Sebastian Reyes
1:0
Jan 30, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 1
San Sebastian Reyes vs UD Logrones
1:1
Oct 2, 2021 Primera RFEF - Group 1
UD Logrones vs San Sebastian Reyes
1:0
Mar 26, 2017 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
San Sebastian Reyes vs UD Logrones
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Sebastian Reyes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

UD Logrones Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabetas E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Sebastian Reyes 20 / 100
UD Logrones 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Sebastian Reyes UD Logrones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Sebastian Reyes found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: San Sebastian Reyes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: UD Logrones conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

San Sebastian Reyes VS UD Logrones
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Sebastian Reyes

(Home)
30 May
San Sebastian Reyes
1 : 1
UD Logrones
24 May
UD Logrones
1 : 0
San Sebastian Reyes
17 May
San Sebastian Reyes
1 : 1
Alcoyano
10 May
Alcoyano
0 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes
03 May
Tenerife B
1 : 3
San Sebastian Reyes
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UD Logrones

(Away)
30 May
San Sebastian Reyes
1 : 1
UD Logrones
24 May
UD Logrones
1 : 0
San Sebastian Reyes
16 May
UD Logrones
2 : 1
Getafe B
10 May
Getafe B
0 : 2
UD Logrones
03 May
Ebro
0 : 3
UD Logrones
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Alaves B2
Jaen3
Baleares4
Coruxo FC1
Deportiva Minera0
CD Coria1
Real Oviedo B3
Tudelano1
UD Logrones4
Getafe B1
San Sebastian Reyes3
Alcoyano1
UD Ourense2
Reus FC Reddis1
Conquense1
Xerez CD1
Aguilas FC4
Utebo FC2
UD Poblense3
Numancia1
Final
Jaen4
Baleares2
CD Coria4
Real Oviedo B0
UD Logrones2
San Sebastian Reyes1
UD Ourense3
Conquense0
Aguilas FC2
UD Poblense1