Sport Picks

Iran

Azadegan League Takhti Stadium

Ario Eslamshahr

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sanat Naft play Ario Eslamshahr in the Azadegan League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sanat Naft averaged 1.18 goals scored and 0.71 conceded. Ario Eslamshahr averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0.46 conceded. In past meetings, Sanat Naft won 0, Ario Eslamshahr won 0, and they drew 4. Their last match on May 14, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Sanat Naft and 0.76 for Ario Eslamshahr. This points to a Sanat Naft double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Sanat Naft

35%

Draws

26%

Ario Eslamshahr

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sanat Naft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Sanat Naft picked up more points recently compared to Ario Eslamshahr.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 0.76 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 38%

Over 2.5 Goals 17%

Over 3.5 Goals 10%

Over 4.5 Goals 5%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Sanat Naft Clean Sheet 27%

Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 20%

First Half Goal 34%

Second Half Goal 36%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sanat Naft	Ario Eslamshahr
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	14	7
Draws	8	13
Losses	6	8
Goals Scored	1.18	0.5
Goals Conceded	0.71	0.46
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Azadegan League

Sanat Naft vs Ario Eslamshahr

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

Oct 7, 2025 Azadegan League

Ario Eslamshahr vs Sanat Naft

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

May 18, 2025 Azadegan League

Ario Eslamshahr vs Sanat Naft

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 3 - 0

0:0

Jan 3, 2025 Azadegan League

Sanat Naft vs Ario Eslamshahr

Possession: 48% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanat Naft 41 / 100

Ario Eslamshahr 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sanat Naft Ario Eslamshahr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sanat Naft or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +54.5%

9.09

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sanat Naft attacking → ← attacking Ario Eslamshahr

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanat Naft scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Ario Eslamshahr let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Sanat Naft went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ario Eslamshahr lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 34

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mazandaran	32	19	9	4	46:15	66
2	Mes Shahr Babak	32	18	10	4	39:14	64
3	Pars Janoobi Jam	32	14	12	6	38:21	54
4	Sanat Naft	32	14	12	6	34:21	54
5	Saipa	32	14	11	7	27:18	53
6	Havadar SC	32	11	16	5	30:18	49
7	Fard	32	10	15	7	24:14	45
8	Naft Bandar Abbas	32	9	17	6	23:18	44
9	Mes Kerman	32	9	15	8	20:17	42
10	Ario Eslamshahr	32	8	15	9	16:16	39
11	Besat Kermanshah	32	9	11	12	24:27	38
12	Niroye Zamini	32	8	11	13	27:28	35
13	Naft Gachsaran	32	7	13	12	23:37	34
14	Kara Gostar Shabestar	32	8	9	15	16:34	33
15	Shenavarsazi Qeshm	32	7	10	15	19:35	31
16	Shahrdari Noshahr	32	5	14	13	17:27	29
17	Navad Urmia	32	4	12	16	16:43	24
18	Damash Gilan	32	2	12	18	16:52	18