Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sanat Naft vs Mes Kerman

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026 Takhti Stadium, Abadan
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Rezaei R.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Sanat Naft and Mes Kerman finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sanat Naft.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Sanat Naft
35%
Draws
46%
Mes Kerman
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mes Kerman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sanat Naft come out ahead of Mes Kerman on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mes Kerman a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Azadegan League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Sanat Naft Clean Sheet 20%
Mes Kerman Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanat Naft Mes Kerman
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 10 14
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.07 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Azadegan League
Sanat Naft vs Mes Kerman
1:0
Dec 20, 2025 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Sanat Naft
1:1
Jan 30, 2025 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Sanat Naft
0:0
Sep 17, 2024 Azadegan League
Sanat Naft vs Mes Kerman
3:0
Apr 6, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sanat Naft vs Mes Kerman
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanat Naft Compare

Top Goalscorer Rezaei R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Mes Kerman Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanat Naft 20 / 100
Mes Kerman 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanat Naft Mes Kerman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mes Kerman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanat Naft's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Mes Kerman conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sanat Naft stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sanat Naft VS Mes Kerman
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanat Naft

(Home)
12 Sept
Sanat Naft
1 : 2
Chadormalu
06 Sept
Paykan
2 : 0
Sanat Naft
02 Sept
Sanat Naft
0 : 0
Sepahan
29 Aug
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0
Sanat Naft
24 Aug
Sanat Naft
0 : 3
Foolad
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Mes Kerman

(Away)
22 Sept
Mes Kerman
0 : 1
Saipa
15 Sept
Fard
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0
Navad Urmia
11 Jul
Sanat Naft
1 : 0
Mes Kerman
03 Jul
Mes Kerman
0 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League (Main)
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)