Sport Picks

Iran

Azadegan League Takhti Stadium

Mes Kerman

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sanat Naft play Mes Kerman in the Azadegan League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sanat Naft averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. Mes Kerman averaged 0.66 goals scored and 0.55 conceded. In past meetings, Sanat Naft won 2, Mes Kerman won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Dec 20, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.56 for Sanat Naft and 0.75 for Mes Kerman. This points to a Sanat Naft double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Sanat Naft

35%

Draws

26%

Mes Kerman

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sanat Naft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Sanat Naft picked up more points recently compared to Mes Kerman.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.56 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 51%

Over 2.5 Goals 24%

Over 3.5 Goals 14%

Over 4.5 Goals 7%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Sanat Naft Clean Sheet 27%

Mes Kerman Clean Sheet 22%

First Half Goal 46%

Second Half Goal 48%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sanat Naft	Mes Kerman
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	14	8
Draws	9	14
Losses	6	7
Goals Scored	1.17	0.66
Goals Conceded	0.72	0.55
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2025 Azadegan League

Mes Kerman vs Sanat Naft

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Jan 30, 2025 Azadegan League

Mes Kerman vs Sanat Naft

Possession: 55% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Sep 17, 2024 Azadegan League

Sanat Naft vs Mes Kerman

Possession: 47% - 54% Cards: 3 - 0

3:0

Apr 6, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League

Sanat Naft vs Mes Kerman

Possession: 57% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Jan 12, 2023 Hazfi Cup

Mes Kerman vs Sanat Naft

Possession: 52% - 56% Cards: 0 - 3

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanat Naft 41 / 100

Mes Kerman 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sanat Naft Mes Kerman

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sanat Naft or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +33.4%

5.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sanat Naft attacking → ← attacking Mes Kerman

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanat Naft scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Mes Kerman let in goals in 45% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sanat Naft went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mes Kerman lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 38

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mazandaran	32	19	9	4	46:15	66
2	Mes Shahr Babak	32	18	10	4	39:14	64
3	Pars Janoobi Jam	32	14	12	6	38:21	54
4	Sanat Naft	32	14	12	6	34:21	54
5	Saipa	32	14	11	7	27:18	53
6	Havadar SC	32	11	16	5	30:18	49
7	Fard	32	10	15	7	24:14	45
8	Naft Bandar Abbas	32	9	17	6	23:18	44
9	Mes Kerman	32	9	15	8	20:17	42
10	Ario Eslamshahr	32	8	15	9	16:16	39
11	Besat Kermanshah	32	9	11	12	24:27	38
12	Niroye Zamini	32	8	11	13	27:28	35
13	Naft Gachsaran	32	7	13	12	23:37	34
14	Kara Gostar Shabestar	32	8	9	15	16:34	33
15	Shenavarsazi Qeshm	32	7	10	15	19:35	31
16	Shahrdari Noshahr	32	5	14	13	17:27	29
17	Navad Urmia	32	4	12	16	16:43	24
18	Damash Gilan	32	2	12	18	16:52	18