Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sandefjord vs Aalesund

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Jotun Arena, Sandefjord
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Engqvist E.
29'
Moller N.
46'
Sub
Engqvist E. In: Syversen U.
Out: Engqvist E.

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Sandefjord and Aalesund finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sandefjord.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sandefjord
44%
Draws
20%
Aalesund
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sandefjord come out ahead of Aalesund on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sandefjord here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sandefjord Clean Sheet 13%
Aalesund Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sandefjord Aalesund
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Aalesund
1:0
Nov 6, 2023 Eliteserien
Aalesund vs Sandefjord
0:3
Apr 30, 2023 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Aalesund
4:0
Feb 13, 2023 Club Friendly
Sandefjord vs Aalesund
2:1
Oct 23, 2022 Eliteserien
Aalesund vs Sandefjord
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sandefjord Compare

Top Goalscorer Mathisen S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Aalesund Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sandefjord 35 / 100
Aalesund 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sandefjord Aalesund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sandefjord found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Aalesund has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sandefjord stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sandefjord VS Aalesund
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sandefjord

(Home)
26 Jul
Sandefjord
0 : 3
Bodo/Glimt
18 Jul
Viking
2 : 1
Sandefjord
12 Jul
Sandefjord
2 : 2
Ham-Kam
30 May
Molde
2 : 1
Sandefjord
25 May
Sandefjord
1 : 1
Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 6

Aalesund

(Away)
26 Jul
Aalesund
1 : 1
Viking
16 Jul
Valerenga
6 : 1
Aalesund
11 Jul
Aalesund
2 : 2
Molde
27 Jun
Kristiansund
0 : 3
Aalesund
29 May
Aalesund
2 : 2
Ham-Kam
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodo/Glimt15112237:1135
2Viking14111234:1434
3Tromso1594226:1531
4Lillestrom1481522:1425
5Molde1472525:1923
6Sarpsborg 081463515:1621
7Valerenga1462622:2420
8Brann1561830:2519
9Rosenborg1453619:1818
10Ham-Kam1453620:2618
11Sandefjord1443713:2015
12Fredrikstad1442815:2714
13Aalesund1427519:2913
14KFUM Oslo1433815:2512
15Kristiansund1433812:2312
16Start1524916:3410
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)