Sport Picks
Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad
Norway
Eliteserien Jotun Arena, Sandefjord 
Match Events
63'
63'
Moller N.
Assist: Alte R.
70'
70'
Sub
Laghzaoui S. In: Faraas B.
Out: Laghzaoui S.
78'
78'
Sub
Sorlokk S. In: Ghebreyohannes F.
Out: Sorlokk S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sandefjord
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sandefjord have won more games recently than Fredrikstad.
- Win probability leans Sandefjord's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sandefjord Clean Sheet 17%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sandefjord | Fredrikstad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 25, 2026 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad
0:0
Apr 21, 2025 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord
3:1
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad
2:2
Dec 1, 2024 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sandefjord Compare
Top Goalscorer Moller N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Fredrikstad Compare
Top Goalscorer Faraas B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sandefjord 57 / 100
Fredrikstad 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sandefjord Fredrikstad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sandefjord found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Fredrikstad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Fredrikstad's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sandefjord VS Fredrikstad
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sandefjord
(Home) 26 Jul
Sandefjord
0 : 3 Bodo/Glimt
18 Jul
Viking
2 : 1 Sandefjord
12 Jul
Sandefjord
2 : 2 Ham-Kam
30 May
Molde
2 : 1 Sandefjord
25 May
Sandefjord
1 : 1 Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Sandefjord
0 : 3 Bodo/Glimt
12 Jul
Sandefjord
2 : 2 Ham-Kam
25 May
Sandefjord
1 : 1 Fredrikstad
10 May
Sandefjord
2 : 0 Kristiansund
03 May
Sandefjord
1 : 0 Aalesund
Page 1 of 4
Fredrikstad
(Away) 27 Jul
Rosenborg
4 : 0 Fredrikstad
17 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0 Fredrikstad
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2 Lillestrom
04 Jul
Valerenga
3 : 1 Fredrikstad
28 Jun
Fredrikstad
0 : 0 Elfsborg
Page 1 of 6
27 Jul
Rosenborg
4 : 0 Fredrikstad
17 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0 Fredrikstad
04 Jul
Valerenga
3 : 1 Fredrikstad
25 May
Sandefjord
1 : 1 Fredrikstad
09 May
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 1 Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 37:11 | 35 |
| 2 | Viking | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 34:14 | 34 |
| 3 | Tromso | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26:15 | 31 |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:14 | 25 |
| 5 | Molde | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Sarpsborg 08 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:16 | 21 |
| 7 | Valerenga | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 22:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Brann | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 30:25 | 19 |
| 9 | Rosenborg | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Ham-Kam | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:26 | 18 |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 12 | Fredrikstad | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:27 | 14 |
| 13 | Aalesund | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 19:29 | 13 |
| 14 | KFUM Oslo | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | 12 |
| 15 | Kristiansund | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12:23 | 12 |
| 16 | Start | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16:34 | 10 |
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
