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Sandomierz vs LKS Lagow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023
Sat, Apr 8, 2023
3 - 0
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sandomierz host LKS Lagow in the III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. LKS Lagow have shipped 3 goals a game lately, while Sandomierz have conceded 3.75 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Sandomierz have won 1 to LKS Lagow's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 8, 2023, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 2.38) point toward LKS Lagow. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sandomierz
28%
Draws
50%
LKS Lagow
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: LKS Lagow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • LKS Lagow carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans LKS Lagow's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sandomierz Clean Sheet 10%
LKS Lagow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sandomierz LKS Lagow
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 2
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 3.75 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.75 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Sandomierz vs LKS Lagow
3:0
Sep 4, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
LKS Lagow vs Sandomierz
2:2
Apr 24, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Sandomierz vs LKS Lagow
0:2
Sep 12, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
LKS Lagow vs Sandomierz
2:1
Apr 14, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
LKS Lagow vs Sandomierz
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sandomierz 22 / 100
LKS Lagow 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sandomierz LKS Lagow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LKS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LKS Lagow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Sandomierz scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: LKS Lagow registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sandomierz VS LKS Lagow
1.5 Goals Scored 0
3.75 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sandomierz

(Home)
10 Feb
Lysica Bodzentyn
8 : 2
Sandomierz
17 Jun
Sandomierz
0 : 4
Avia Swidnik
10 Jun
Stal Stalowa Wola
7 : 0
Sandomierz
04 Jun
Sandomierz
5 : 3
Korona Kielce II
27 May
Orleta Radzyn
0 : 0
Sandomierz
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LKS Lagow

(Away)
03 Feb
LKS Lagow
5 : 2
Orleta Kielce
17 Jun
KS Wieczysta Krakow
3 : 0
LKS Lagow
10 Jun
LKS Lagow
0 : 3
Chelmianka Chelm
03 Jun
Unia Tarnow
3 : 0
LKS Lagow
27 May
LKS Lagow
0 : 3
Wiazownica
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stal Stalowa Wola34235672:2774
2Avia Swidnik341911458:2668
3KS Wieczysta Krakow34207775:3567
4Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski341771061:3658
5Biala Podlaska341413763:4255
6Cracovia II341661269:4854
7Wisloka Debica341571254:4652
8Sokol Sieniawa341461457:6548
9Czarni Polaniec341521747:5847
10Podhale Nowy Targ341361559:4745
11Orleta Radzyn341341744:6343
12Chelmianka Chelm3410101445:4740
13Unia Tarnow3410101443:6640
14Wiazownica341171649:5940
15Korona Kielce II341091563:5839
16Sandomierz34762140:9127
17Lublinianka34722543:9223
18LKS Lagow341141927:6337
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)