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Sandviken vs Sundsvall

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Jernvallen, Sandviken
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Tagesson L.
Assist: Arvidsson J.
20' Event
Carleton A.
Assist: Arvidsson J.
29'
Sub
Bjork C. In: Eriksson M.
Out: Bjork C.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Sandviken and Sundsvall finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sandviken.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Sandviken
20%
Draws
42%
Sundsvall
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sundsvall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Sandviken carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sandviken are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sandviken Clean Sheet 20%
Sundsvall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sandviken Sundsvall
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 2
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.67 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Superettan
Sandviken vs Sundsvall
5:0
May 30, 2026 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Sandviken
0:3
Mar 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Sundsvall vs Sandviken
2:3
Aug 9, 2025 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Sandviken
1:0
May 27, 2025 Superettan
Sandviken vs Sundsvall
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sandviken Compare

Top Goalscorer Tagesson L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carleton A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sundsvall Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sandviken 85 / 100
Sundsvall 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sandviken Sundsvall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sandviken Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sandviken scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Sundsvall conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sandviken stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sandviken VS Sundsvall
2 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sandviken

(Home)
19 Sept
Sandviken
4 : 2
Orebro
15 Sept
Brage
1 : 1
Sandviken
09 Sept
Sandviken
0 : 1
Oddevold
05 Sept
Helsingborg
0 : 2
Sandviken
30 Aug
Sandviken
1 : 1
Oster
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Sundsvall

(Away)
20 Sept
Sundsvall
3 : 2
Ljungskile
15 Sept
Landskrona
4 : 0
Sundsvall
10 Sept
Sundsvall
0 : 3
Orebro
05 Sept
Brage
0 : 1
Sundsvall
31 Aug
Sundsvall
1 : 0
Norrby
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)