Sport Picks
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan
J1 League 2026 Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima 
Match Events
10'
10'
Suzuki A.
Assist: Higashi S.
29'
29'
Diego Pituca
30'
30'
Sub
Teruyama H. In: Dudu Giusti
Out: Teruyama H.
AI Match Summary
The J1 League 2026 game between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and V-Varen Nagasaki finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sanfrecce Hiroshima come out ahead of V-Varen Nagasaki on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Sanfrecce Hiroshima here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 20%
V-Varen Nagasaki Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | V-Varen Nagasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 14 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-Varen Nagasaki
2:0
Feb 6, 2026 J1 League
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:3
Aug 11, 2018 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-Varen Nagasaki
2:0
Apr 28, 2018 J1 League
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Compare
Top Goalscorer Suzuki A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kato M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
V-Varen Nagasaki Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 31 / 100
V-Varen Nagasaki 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sanfrecce Hiroshima V-Varen Nagasaki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: V-Varen Nagasaki conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Sanfrecce Hiroshima stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sanfrecce Hiroshima VS V-Varen Nagasaki
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
(Home) 14 Jul
Slaven Belupo
1 : 3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
11 Jul
Sturm Graz
5 : 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
06 Jun
Kawasaki Frontale
0 : 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
30 May
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
23 May
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 2 Nagoya Grampus
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
23 May
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 2 Nagoya Grampus
06 May
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 : 2 Vissel Kobe
25 Apr
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
18 Apr
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2 : 0 V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 3
V-Varen Nagasaki
(Away) 17 Jul
Utrecht
3 : 2 V-Varen Nagasaki
14 Jul
Nijmegen
3 : 1 V-Varen Nagasaki
06 Jun
Mito
0 : 1 V-Varen Nagasaki
30 May
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 0 Mito
23 May
Kyoto
1 : 0 V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Utrecht
3 : 2 V-Varen Nagasaki
14 Jul
Nijmegen
3 : 1 V-Varen Nagasaki
06 Jun
Mito
0 : 1 V-Varen Nagasaki
23 May
Kyoto
1 : 0 V-Varen Nagasaki
09 May
Cerezo Osaka
3 : 2 V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 31:11 | 45 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 32:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 28:22 | 37 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:28 | 28 |
| 5 | Verdy | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 22:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 25:22 | 25 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 28:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:24 | 20 |
| 9 | Mito | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 23:39 | 18 |
| 10 | Chiba | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 18:34 | 12 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 28 |
| 6 | Okayama | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | 21 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
