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Sanfrecce Hiroshima W vs Nojima Stella W

Japan Japan

WE League Women 2025/2026 Hiroshima Big Arch, Hiroshima
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Otake M.
Assist: Sasai C.
74' Event
Sasai C.
Assist: Yumura H.
80' Event
Katayama Y.
Assist: Otake M.

AI Match Summary

Nojima Stella W in this WE League Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nojima Stella W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
40%
Draws
29%
Nojima Stella W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sanfrecce Hiroshima W lately — more wins on the board than Nojima Stella W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular WE League Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W Clean Sheet 18%
Nojima Stella W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanfrecce Hiroshima W Nojima Stella W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 20 11
Draws 8 3
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2025 WE League Women
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W vs Nojima Stella W
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
0:2
May 4, 2025 WE League Women
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W vs Nojima Stella W
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
0:1
May 6, 2024 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Nojima Stella W Compare

Top Goalscorer Otake M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sasai C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 32 / 100
Nojima Stella W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W Nojima Stella W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Nojima Stella W conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sanfrecce Hiroshima W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W VS Nojima Stella W
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

(Home)
16 May
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
10 May
C-Osaka W
0 : 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
03 May
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
2 : 0
Beleza W
25 Apr
AC Parceiro Nagano W
1 : 5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
18 Apr
Beleza W
3 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
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Nojima Stella W

(Away)
16 May
Omiya Ardija W
0 : 4
Nojima Stella W
09 May
Albirex Niigata W
0 : 2
Nojima Stella W
02 May
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Saitama W
26 Apr
Nojima Stella W
3 : 0
C-Osaka W
04 Apr
AC Parceiro Nagano W
0 : 2
Nojima Stella W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inac Kobe Leonesa W22172350:1353
2Urawa W22142646:1544
3Beleza W22132744:2341
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima W22108430:2038
5Mynavi Sendai W2297622:1934
6Albirex Niigata W2294923:2731
7Omiya Ardija W2269724:2827
8Nojima Stella W22831128:3427
9JEF United W22661016:3424
10C-Osaka W22561120:3421
11Saitama W22531420:3718
12AC Parceiro Nagano W22241616:5510
Promotion - AFC Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Main)