Sport Picks
Sangiuliano City vs Desenzano Calvina
Italy
Serie D - Group D 
Match Events
10'
10'
Gagliano L.
21'
21'
Procaccio A.
(Penalty)
25'
25'
Gagliano L.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D game between Sangiuliano City and Desenzano Calvina finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Desenzano Calvina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
11%
80%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Desenzano Calvina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Desenzano Calvina come out ahead of Sangiuliano City on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Desenzano Calvina's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Sangiuliano City Clean Sheet 18%
Desenzano Calvina Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sangiuliano City | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 21 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sangiuliano City vs Desenzano Calvina
0:5
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Desenzano Calvina vs Sangiuliano City
0:1
Jan 29, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Desenzano Calvina vs Sangiuliano City
1:0
Oct 2, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Sangiuliano City vs Desenzano Calvina
1:2
Feb 20, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Sangiuliano City vs Desenzano Calvina
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sangiuliano City Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Desenzano Calvina Compare
Top Goalscorer Gagliano L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Bovolon E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sangiuliano City 12 / 100
Desenzano Calvina 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sangiuliano City Desenzano Calvina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sangiuliano City scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Desenzano Calvina has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.
Sangiuliano City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sangiuliano City VS Desenzano Calvina
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sangiuliano City
(Home) 03 May
Sangiuliano City
0 : 5 Desenzano Calvina
26 Apr
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 0 Sangiuliano City
19 Apr
Sangiuliano City
0 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
12 Apr
Crema
0 : 2 Sangiuliano City
02 Apr
Sangiuliano City
3 : 3 Tropical Coriano
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Sangiuliano City
0 : 5 Desenzano Calvina
19 Apr
Sangiuliano City
0 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
02 Apr
Sangiuliano City
3 : 3 Tropical Coriano
22 Mar
Sangiuliano City
1 : 2 Pro Sesto
01 Mar
Sangiuliano City
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 3
Desenzano Calvina
(Away) 31 May
Scafatese
1 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
24 May
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 1 Scafatese
17 May
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 1 Grosseto
10 May
Ostiamare
0 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
03 May
Sangiuliano City
0 : 5 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 7
31 May
Scafatese
1 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
10 May
Ostiamare
0 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
03 May
Sangiuliano City
0 : 5 Desenzano Calvina
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
08 Apr
Tropical Coriano
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)