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Stadium Background

Sangiuliano City vs Lentigione

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Nanni L.
(Penalty)
77' Event
Alessandrini S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Sangiuliano City and Lentigione finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lentigione.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sangiuliano City
39%
Draws
30%
Lentigione
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Lentigione carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sangiuliano City Clean Sheet 16%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sangiuliano City Lentigione
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sangiuliano City vs Lentigione
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Sangiuliano City
0:0
Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Sangiuliano City vs Lentigione
1:1
Sep 10, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Sangiuliano City
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sangiuliano City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Lentigione Compare

Top Goalscorer Alessandrini S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sangiuliano City 31 / 100
Lentigione 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sangiuliano City Lentigione

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sangiuliano City found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Lentigione has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Sangiuliano City stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sangiuliano City VS Lentigione
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sangiuliano City

(Home)
03 May
Sangiuliano City
0 : 5
Desenzano Calvina
26 Apr
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 0
Sangiuliano City
19 Apr
Sangiuliano City
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
12 Apr
Crema
0 : 2
Sangiuliano City
02 Apr
Sangiuliano City
3 : 3
Tropical Coriano
Page 1 of 6

Lentigione

(Away)
17 May
Lentigione
0 : 2
Piacenza
10 May
Lentigione
3 : 2
Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2
Sant'Angelo
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2
Lentigione
19 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 2
SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)