Sport Picks

Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2023

Belo Horizonte

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sanjoanenses play Belo Horizonte in the Campeonato Nacional 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sanjoanenses averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded. Belo Horizonte averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Sanjoanenses won 0, Belo Horizonte won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 4, 2023 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Sanjoanenses and 1.25 for Belo Horizonte. This points to a Belo Horizonte double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Sanjoanenses

35%

Draws

38%

Belo Horizonte

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Belo Horizonte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Sanjoanenses picked up more points recently compared to Belo Horizonte.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Sanjoanenses Clean Sheet 19%

Belo Horizonte Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sanjoanenses	Belo Horizonte
Matches Played	20	12
Wins	4	3
Draws	8	5
Losses	8	4
Goals Scored	0.8	1.17
Goals Conceded	1	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2023 Campeonato Nacional

Sanjoanenses vs Belo Horizonte

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 1 - 0

2:3

Apr 29, 2023 Campeonato Nacional

Belo Horizonte vs Sanjoanenses

Possession: 49% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanjoanenses 28 / 100

Belo Horizonte 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sanjoanenses Belo Horizonte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Belo Horizonte or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.9%

3.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sanjoanenses attacking → ← attacking Belo Horizonte

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanjoanenses scored in 60% of their last 20 games.

Belo Horizonte let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Sanjoanenses went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Belo Horizonte lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 14

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mindelense	6	4	2	0	6:0	14
2	Travadores	6	3	0	3	10:6	9
3	Santo Crucifixo	6	2	1	3	4:6	7
4	Juventude	6	1	1	4	4:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeira	6	4	0	2	10:6	12
2	Vulcanico Clube	6	3	2	1	8:5	11
3	Belo Horizonte	6	1	2	3	5:10	5
4	Sanjoanenses	6	1	2	3	7:9	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Academica do Mindelo	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Morabeza	6	2	4	0	6:4	10
3	Figueirense	6	1	2	3	8:11	5
4	GD Varandinha	6	0	3	3	6:11	3