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Sanliurfaspor vs Kastamonuspor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group 2025/2026 Şanlıurfa 11 Nisan Stadyumu, Şanliurfa
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Unsal B.
(Penalty)
38' Event
Tarhan C.
Assist: Yildiz B.
45' Event
Yildiz B.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig White Group 2025/2026 game between Sanliurfaspor and Kastamonuspor finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sanliurfaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sanliurfaspor
6%
Draws
4%
Kastamonuspor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sanliurfaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sanliurfaspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sanliurfaspor a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sanliurfaspor Clean Sheet 20%
Kastamonuspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanliurfaspor Kastamonuspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Sanliurfaspor vs Kastamonuspor
5:2
Dec 16, 2025 2. Lig White Group
Kastamonuspor vs Sanliurfaspor
2:4
Feb 23, 2022 2. Lig White Group
Kastamonuspor vs Sanliurfaspor
0:0
Oct 17, 2021 2. Lig White Group
Sanliurfaspor vs Kastamonuspor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanliurfaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarhan C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yildiz B.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Kastamonuspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Talay H. I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kahya K. C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanliurfaspor 85 / 100
Kastamonuspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanliurfaspor Kastamonuspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kastamonuspor has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Sanliurfaspor's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Sanliurfaspor remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sanliurfaspor VS Kastamonuspor
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanliurfaspor

(Home)
04 May
Muglaspor
1 : 1
Sanliurfaspor
30 Apr
Sanliurfaspor
0 : 1
Muglaspor
25 Apr
Sanliurfaspor
2 : 1
Ankaraspor
19 Apr
Muglaspor
0 : 0
Sanliurfaspor
12 Apr
Sanliurfaspor
5 : 2
Kastamonuspor
Page 1 of 6

Kastamonuspor

(Away)
25 Apr
Kastamonuspor
0 : 3
Muglaspor
12 Apr
Sanliurfaspor
5 : 2
Kastamonuspor
08 Apr
Kastamonuspor
2 : 2
Karaman FK
04 Apr
Karacabey Bld.
4 : 0
Kastamonuspor
29 Mar
Kastamonuspor
1 : 2
Batman Petrolspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Batman Petrolspor36258386:3383
2Muglaspor36219651:1972
3Elazigspor36216982:3769
4Adana 01361910755:3567
5Sanliurfaspor36198963:4365
6Ankaragucu36189952:4163
7Inegolspor361612867:4460
8Iskenderunspor361681250:4456
9Beyoglu Yeni Carsi361315845:3554
10Ankaraspor3613131064:5452
1124Erzincanspor361561555:4951
12Kastamonuspor361191644:5642
13Karacabey Bld.361181746:5541
14Altinordu368111733:5935
15Erbaaspor361071940:6134
16Beykoz Anadolu36862237:6630
17Kepez Bld.36582333:7823
18Karaman FK36492330:8621
19Bucaspor 192836482438:7617
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)