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Santa Catarina vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Estadio Municipal Alfredo Joao Krieck, Rio do Sul
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Galdino In: Bruno Negueba
Out: Galdino
34'
Adriel
37'
Gabriel Silva

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Barra FC (Santa Catarina) advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Santa Catarina
6%
Draws
4%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Santa Catarina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Santa Catarina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Santa Catarina a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Santa Catarina have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Barra FC (Santa Catarina), who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Santa Catarina Clean Sheet 68%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Catarina Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Catarinense
Santa Catarina vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
0:1
Jan 31, 2026 Catarinense
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Santa Catarina
1:1
Jan 23, 2025 Catarinense
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Santa Catarina
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Catarina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Compare

Top Goalscorer Warley Jr
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Catarina 95 / 100
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Catarina Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Catarina's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Santa Catarina has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Catarina VS Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Catarina

(Home)
27 Jun
Santa Catarina
1 : 2
EC Sao Jose (PA)
21 Jun
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Santa Catarina
07 Jun
Santa Catarina
1 : 0
FC Cascavel
31 May
Cianorte
1 : 3
Santa Catarina
23 May
Santa Catarina
1 : 0
Sao Luiz
Page 1 of 6

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

(Away)
26 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
12 Jul
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 2
Santa Cruz
04 Jul
Confianca
1 : 2
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
27 Jun
Floresta EC
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
21 Jun
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 1
Amazonas
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Concordia1
Brusque2
Criciuma1
Chapecoense-SC2
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)2
Santa Catarina1
Camboriu3
Avai2
Semi-finals
Brusque1
Chapecoense-SC3
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)4
Camboriu1
Final
Chapecoense-SC2
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)3