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Santa Cruz AC vs Vasco da Gama AC

Brazil Brazil

Acreano
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
JP Bardales
90'
Railan

AI Match Summary

The Acreano game between Santa Cruz AC and Vasco da Gama AC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Cruz AC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Santa Cruz AC
6%
Draws
4%
Vasco da Gama AC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Santa Cruz AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vasco da Gama AC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Santa Cruz AC taking it.
  • Regular Acreano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Santa Cruz AC Clean Sheet 68%
Vasco da Gama AC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz AC Vasco da Gama AC
Matches Played 19 34
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 2 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Acreano
Santa Cruz AC vs Vasco da Gama AC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz AC Compare

Top Goalscorer JP Bardales
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Vasco da Gama AC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz AC 95 / 100
Vasco da Gama AC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz AC Vasco da Gama AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz AC found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (19 games).

Recent resilience: Santa Cruz AC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Vasco da Gama AC has conceded goals in 76% of their last 34 outings.

Away concern: Vasco da Gama AC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz AC VS Vasco da Gama AC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz AC

(Home)
22 Mar
Rio Branco AC
0 : 1
Santa Cruz AC
19 Mar
SC Humaita
0 : 1
Santa Cruz AC
14 Mar
Santa Cruz AC
0 : 0
SC Humaita
07 Mar
Santa Cruz AC
3 : 2
Senador Guiomard
23 Feb
Rio Branco AC
0 : 3
Santa Cruz AC
Page 1 of 4

Vasco da Gama AC

(Away)
05 Mar
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
2 : 2
Vasco da Gama AC
28 Feb
Galvez
5 : 2
Vasco da Gama AC
20 Feb
Vasco da Gama AC
1 : 2
Velo Clube
10 Feb
Vasco da Gama AC
1 : 3
Independencia Futebol Clube
04 Feb
SC Humaita
0 : 0
Vasco da Gama AC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galvez751115:616
2SC Humaita743015:315
3Santa Cruz AC741215:713
4Rio Branco AC741214:913
5Independencia Futebol Clube72149:117
6Senador Guiomard71247:125
7Sao Francisco FC (AC)71154:264
8Vasco da Gama AC712410:15-1
Promotion - Acreano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Acreano 2 2027 (Main)