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Santa Cruz RS vs Monsoon

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Babi
34' Event
Mazia da Costa M. A.
58' Event
Fred

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Santa Cruz RS advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Santa Cruz RS
33%
Draws
27%
Monsoon
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Santa Cruz RS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Cruz RS's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what Monsoon have produced (0.88).
  • Model gives Santa Cruz RS a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Santa Cruz RS, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 68%
Monsoon Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz RS Monsoon
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 13 13
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2026 Copa FGF
Monsoon vs Santa Cruz RS
1:1
May 30, 2026 Copa FGF
Santa Cruz RS vs Monsoon
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz RS Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazia da Costa M. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fred
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Monsoon Compare

Top Goalscorer Babi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz RS 50 / 100
Monsoon 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz RS Monsoon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monsoon let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Santa Cruz RS scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Santa Cruz RS remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz RS VS Monsoon
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz RS

(Home)
04 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
17 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Gramadense
14 Jun
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
Page 1 of 6

Monsoon

(Away)
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
11 Jun
Gramadense
1 : 0
Monsoon
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
30 May
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Monsoon
24 May
Monsoon
1 : 2
Gramadense
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense63219:711
2Santa Cruz RS624010:710
3Monsoon61235:85
4Brasil de Farroupilha60425:74
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brasil de Pelotas642012:414
2GE Bage62226:68
3Guarany de Bage61326:86
4Farroupilha60333:93
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)