Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil de Farroupilha

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Fred
55' Event
Riquelme

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Santa Cruz RS
39%
Draws
31%
Brasil de Farroupilha
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Cruz RS haven't matched Brasil de Farroupilha's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Brasil de Farroupilha arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Santa Cruz RS, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 68%
Brasil de Farroupilha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz RS Brasil de Farroupilha
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 7
Draws 13 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Copa FGF
Brasil de Farroupilha vs Santa Cruz RS
1:1
May 23, 2026 Copa FGF
Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil de Farroupilha
1:1
May 28, 2025 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil de Farroupilha
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz RS Compare

Top Goalscorer Fred
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Brasil de Farroupilha Compare

Top Goalscorer Riquelme
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz RS 41 / 100
Brasil de Farroupilha 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz RS Brasil de Farroupilha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brasil de Farroupilha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Santa Cruz RS found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Santa Cruz RS has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz RS VS Brasil de Farroupilha
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz RS

(Home)
04 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
17 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Gramadense
14 Jun
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
Page 1 of 6

Brasil de Farroupilha

(Away)
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
14 Jun
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
07 Jun
Brasil de Farroupilha
0 : 1
Gramadense
30 May
Gramadense
2 : 2
Brasil de Farroupilha
23 May
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense63219:711
2Santa Cruz RS624010:710
3Monsoon61235:85
4Brasil de Farroupilha60425:74
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brasil de Pelotas642012:414
2GE Bage62226:68
3Guarany de Bage61326:86
4Farroupilha60333:93
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)