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Santa Cruz SE vs Barra SE

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 2024 game between Santa Cruz SE and Barra SE finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barra SE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Santa Cruz SE
28%
Draws
22%
Barra SE
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Santa Cruz SE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barra SE come out ahead of Santa Cruz SE on wins alone.
  • Santa Cruz SE are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Santa Cruz SE Clean Sheet 17%
Barra SE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz SE Barra SE
Matches Played 16 26
Wins 5 11
Draws 0 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2024 Sergipano 2
Santa Cruz SE vs Barra SE
1:3
Sep 14, 2024 Sergipano 2
Barra SE vs Santa Cruz SE
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz SE 48 / 100
Barra SE 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz SE Barra SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Santa Cruz SE found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (16 games).

Defensive concern: Barra SE conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.

Away concern: Barra SE has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz SE VS Barra SE
1 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo SE870113:121
2Atletico Central860217:718
3Aracaju FC850314:1015
4CS Maruinense81165:134
5Socorro80171:191
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desportiva Aracaju871016:422
2Barra SE861119:419
3Santa Cruz SE830512:159
4Cotinguiba81167:144
5Socorrense81161:184
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America de Pedrinhas860220:918
2Independente SE834112:1113
3Riachao833211:712
4Amadense831415:1810
5AD Boquinhense80265:182
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Frei Paulistano861121:319
2Boca Junior851214:816
3Estanciano EC831411:1210
4Sete de Junho82156:157
5Botafogo ASF81253:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarany SE861123:619
2Caninde851214:1016
3Forca Jovem Aquidaba840416:1012
4Propria823311:149
5Coritiba SE80176:301