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Santa Cruz U20 vs Afogados da Ingazeira U20

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Santa Cruz U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Santa Cruz U20
6%
Draws
90%
Afogados da Ingazeira U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Afogados da Ingazeira U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Cruz U20 come out ahead of Afogados da Ingazeira U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Afogados da Ingazeira U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Santa Cruz U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Santa Cruz U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Santa Cruz U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Afogados da Ingazeira U20 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz U20 Afogados da Ingazeira U20
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 1
Losses 9 1
Goals Scored 1.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Pernambucano U20
Afogados da Ingazeira U20 vs Santa Cruz U20
2:2
Oct 25, 2025 Pernambucano U20
Santa Cruz U20 vs Afogados da Ingazeira U20
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz U20 10 / 100
Afogados da Ingazeira U20 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz U20 Afogados da Ingazeira U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz U20 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Santa Cruz U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Afogados da Ingazeira U20 has conceded goals in 38% of their last 8 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz U20 VS Afogados da Ingazeira U20
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz U20

(Home)
09 Jan
Bandeirante U20
0 : 0
Santa Cruz U20
06 Jan
Tuna Luso U20
1 : 1
Santa Cruz U20
03 Jan
Santa Cruz U20
1 : 3
Botafogo SP U20
26 Nov
Nautico U20
2 : 0
Santa Cruz U20
15 Nov
America PE U20
1 : 2
Santa Cruz U20
Page 1 of 6

Afogados da Ingazeira U20

(Away)
01 Nov
Afogados da Ingazeira U20
2 : 2
Santa Cruz U20
25 Oct
Santa Cruz U20
1 : 0
Afogados da Ingazeira U20
19 Oct
Afogados da Ingazeira U20
4 : 1
Salgueiro U20
11 Oct
Petrolina U20
0 : 4
Afogados da Ingazeira U20
05 Oct
Pesqueira U20
0 : 2
Afogados da Ingazeira U20
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Retro U202
Sport Recife U203
Nautico U204
Petrolina U203
Afogados da Ingazeira U202
Santa Cruz U203
America PE U204
Atletico PE U202
Semi-finals
Sport Recife U201
Nautico U204
Santa Cruz U203
America PE U202
Final
Nautico U202
Santa Cruz U200