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Santa Cruz vs Ypiranga FC

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio José do Rego Maciel, Recife
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Estevao
30'
Renan Gorne
45'
Alex Ruan

AI Match Summary

Ypiranga FC in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ypiranga FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Santa Cruz
39%
Draws
31%
Ypiranga FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Cruz lately — more wins on the board than Ypiranga FC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%
Ypiranga FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Ypiranga FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Serie C
Santa Cruz vs Ypiranga FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ypiranga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Estevao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 41 / 100
Ypiranga FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Ypiranga FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ypiranga FC has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Santa Cruz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS Ypiranga FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
25 Jul
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Figueirense
12 Jul
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 2
Santa Cruz
04 Jul
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Ituano
27 Jun
Paysandu PA
1 : 3
Santa Cruz
20 Jun
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Ypiranga FC
Page 1 of 6

Ypiranga FC

(Away)
26 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
12 Jul
Maranhao
2 : 1
Ypiranga FC
05 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
28 Jun
Ypiranga FC
1 : 1
Confianca
20 Jun
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Ypiranga FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional de Limeira1474317:1425
2Brusque1473420:1524
3Santa Cruz1573515:1124
4Paysandu PA1472522:1923
5Guarani1465325:1423
6Ferroviaria1565415:1223
7Botafogo PB1471619:1522
8Maringa FC1464427:2422
9SER Caxias do Sul1456313:1021
10Floresta EC1455415:1420
11Figueirense1555513:1820
12Ituano1454516:1619
13Ypiranga FC1453617:1918
14Volta Redonda1553711:1918
15Maranhao1546511:1418
16Amazonas1452713:1917
17Itabaiana1545613:1817
18Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1436517:1615
19Anapolis1533913:1912
20Confianca153399:1512
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)