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Santa Fe vs Dep. Pasto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio El Campín, Bogotá
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Fe host Dep. Pasto in the Primera A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Dep. Pasto have shipped 1.54 goals a game lately, while Santa Fe have conceded 0.85 and scored 1.59. Head-to-head, Santa Fe have won 1 to Dep. Pasto's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.69, favoring Santa Fe. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Santa Fe
15%
Draws
26%
Dep. Pasto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Fe lately — more wins on the board than Dep. Pasto.
  • Santa Fe are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Pasto Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Fe Dep. Pasto
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 19 7
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.59 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Santa Fe
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Santa Fe
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Dep. Pasto
1:1
Dec 2, 2024 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Dep. Pasto
1:2
Nov 29, 2024 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Santa Fe
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Fe 58 / 100
Dep. Pasto 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Fe Dep. Pasto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Fe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Fe scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Dep. Pasto let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Santa Fe went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Fe VS Dep. Pasto
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Fe

(Home)
30 Oct
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0
Santa Fe
27 Oct
Santa Fe
2 : 1
Bucaramanga
22 Oct
Santa Fe
2 : 1
Jaguares de Cordoba
18 Oct
Llaneros
1 : 0
Santa Fe
11 Oct
Santa Fe
3 : 2
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
Page 1 of 7

Dep. Pasto

(Away)
31 Oct
Bucaramanga
2 : 1
Dep. Pasto
26 Oct
Deportes Tolima
0 : 1
Dep. Pasto
23 Oct
Atl. Nacional
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto
20 Oct
Dep. Pasto
0 : 1
Alianza
04 Oct
Dep. Pasto
0 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 16 11 2 3 32:13 35
2 America De Cali 16 10 4 2 31:12 34
3 Dep. Cali 16 8 6 2 24:10 30
4 Bucaramanga 16 7 7 2 25:16 28
5 Santa Fe 16 8 4 4 23:17 28
6 Millonarios 16 6 8 2 24:14 26
7 Once Caldas 17 6 6 5 21:18 24
8 Ind. Medellin 16 7 2 7 23:24 23
9 Aguilas Doradas 16 5 7 4 21:20 22
10 Cucuta 16 6 3 7 18:24 21
11 Deportes Tolima 16 5 5 6 18:19 20
12 Inter Bogotá 17 4 8 5 21:23 20
13 Alianza 16 5 3 8 16:27 18
14 Llaneros 16 5 2 9 16:21 17
15 Dep. Pereira 16 3 8 5 12:19 17
16 Junior 16 3 7 6 21:24 16
17 Chico 16 4 4 8 13:26 16
18 Jaguares de Cordoba 16 3 4 9 17:29 13
19 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 16 1 9 6 17:24 12
20 Dep. Pasto 16 3 3 10 11:24 12
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)