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Santa Quiteria vs Sampaio Correa

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Campeonato Maranhense 2019
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Maranhense 2019 game between Santa Quiteria and Sampaio Correa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sampaio Correa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Santa Quiteria
6%
Draws
90%
Sampaio Correa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sampaio Correa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sampaio Correa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Sampaio Correa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sampaio Correa here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Santa Quiteria Clean Sheet 17%
Sampaio Correa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Quiteria Sampaio Correa
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 12
Draws 9 13
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2019 Maranhense
Santa Quiteria vs Sampaio Correa
0:1
Feb 10, 2018 Maranhense
Santa Quiteria vs Sampaio Correa
1:3
Feb 19, 2017 Maranhense
Santa Quiteria vs Sampaio Correa
2:1
Jan 21, 2017 Maranhense
Sampaio Correa vs Santa Quiteria
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Quiteria 10 / 100
Sampaio Correa 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Quiteria Sampaio Correa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampaio Correa let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Santa Quiteria scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Santa Quiteria went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sampaio Correa
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Moto Club76108:119
2Imperatriz742111:614
3Sampaio Correa74127:313
4Maranhao731311:710
5Pinheiro722312:138
6Sao Jose (MA)72148:157
7Cordino EC720513:136
8Santa Quiteria70254:162