Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santamarina vs Kimberley Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin, Tandil
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Aquino A.
31'
Gomez J.
56'
Sub
Marchiori T. In: Meza F.
Out: Marchiori T.

AI Match Summary

Santamarina in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santamarina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Santamarina
20%
Draws
50%
Kimberley
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kimberley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kimberley lately — more wins on the board than Santamarina.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Santamarina Clean Sheet 18%
Kimberley Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santamarina Kimberley
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 12
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 0.7 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Kimberley
1:0
Apr 5, 2026 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Santamarina
0:0
May 31, 2025 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Santamarina
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Kimberley
0:1
Aug 18, 2024 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Kimberley
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santamarina Compare

Top Goalscorer Dominguez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Kimberley Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santamarina 32 / 100
Kimberley 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santamarina Kimberley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kimberley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santamarina scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Kimberley conceded in 41% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Santamarina remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santamarina VS Kimberley
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santamarina

(Home)
20 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
3 : 0
Santamarina
13 Sept
Santamarina
1 : 3
Costa Brava
06 Sept
Juventud U.U.
1 : 0
Santamarina
30 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 1
Circulo Deportivo
23 Aug
Guillermo Brown
1 : 0
Santamarina
Page 1 of 6

Kimberley

(Away)
20 Sept
Villa Mitre
0 : 0
Kimberley
13 Sept
Kimberley
0 : 0
Huracan Las Heras
05 Sept
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 3
Kimberley
30 Aug
Kimberley
0 : 2
Alvarado
23 Aug
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1 : 0
Kimberley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Douglas Haig 18 9 4 5 22:15 31
2 Sportivo Belgrano 18 7 9 2 21:9 30
3 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 18 7 6 5 17:12 27
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 18 7 6 5 24:20 27
5 9 de Julio Rafaela 18 7 4 7 28:27 25
6 Sportivo Las Parejas 18 5 9 4 12:13 24
7 Atletico Escobar 18 6 4 8 21:29 22
8 Independiente Chivilcoy 18 4 7 7 15:22 19
9 El Linqueno 18 5 4 9 14:21 19
10 Gimnasia E.R. 18 4 5 9 12:18 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 16 9 3 4 25:19 30
2 Bartolome Mitre 16 7 5 4 13:7 26
3 Sol de America 16 8 2 6 19:14 26
4 Sarmiento de La Banda 16 7 4 5 17:15 25
5 Juventud Antoniana 16 7 4 5 19:11 25
6 Defensores de Vilelas 16 6 1 9 21:26 19
7 Boca Unidos 16 5 3 8 19:25 18
8 Tucuman Central 16 5 2 9 14:19 17
9 Sarmiento Resistencia 16 3 6 7 12:23 15
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cipolletti 16 7 4 5 19:15 25
2 Argentino MM 16 5 8 3 16:12 23
3 Biblioteca Atenas 16 6 5 5 12:13 23
4 Huracan Las Heras 16 6 5 5 11:13 23
5 Fundacion Amigos 16 4 9 3 17:14 21
6 Deportivo Rincon 16 5 4 7 13:16 19
7 San Martin Mendoza 16 4 7 5 11:15 19
8 Costa Brava 16 4 6 6 12:13 18
9 Juventud U.U. 16 3 8 5 10:10 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 16 8 7 1 13:4 31
2 Alvarado 16 7 6 3 19:7 27
3 Kimberley 16 6 8 2 15:9 26
4 Villa Mitre 16 5 8 3 14:8 23
5 Germinal 16 4 6 6 7:14 18
6 Sol de Mayo 16 4 6 6 15:18 18
7 Guillermo Brown 16 4 5 7 13:20 17
8 Santamarina 16 2 7 7 9:17 13
9 Circulo Deportivo 16 2 7 7 8:16 13
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)