Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sant'Angelo vs Lentigione

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Cellai B.
44' Event
Cellai B.
44' Event
Gritti M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Sant'Angelo and Lentigione finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lentigione.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sant'Angelo
40%
Draws
29%
Lentigione
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lentigione come out ahead of Sant'Angelo on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sant'Angelo Clean Sheet 14%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sant'Angelo Lentigione
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Sant'Angelo
2:2
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Lentigione
1:4
Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Sant'Angelo
1:0
Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Lentigione
1:3
Mar 5, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Sant'Angelo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sant'Angelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gritti M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lentigione Compare

Top Goalscorer Cellai B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mordini D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sant'Angelo 31 / 100
Lentigione 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sant'Angelo Lentigione

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Sant'Angelo scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Sant'Angelo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lentigione let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sant'Angelo VS Lentigione
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sant'Angelo

(Home)
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2
Sant'Angelo
26 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
SCD Progresso
19 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 1
Sant'Angelo
12 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
Piacenza
02 Apr
Correggese
2 : 1
Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 6

Lentigione

(Away)
17 May
Lentigione
0 : 2
Piacenza
10 May
Lentigione
3 : 2
Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2
Sant'Angelo
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2
Lentigione
19 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 2
SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)