Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Grandinetti S.
54' Event
Rossi M.
72' Event
Gennari M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Sant'Angelo and Pistoiese finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pistoiese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Sant'Angelo
33%
Draws
40%
Pistoiese
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Pistoiese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pistoiese come out ahead of Sant'Angelo on wins alone.
  • Pistoiese are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Sant'Angelo Clean Sheet 14%
Pistoiese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sant'Angelo Pistoiese
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 21
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese
1:3
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo
4:1
Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese
0:0
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo
1:1
Jan 25, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sant'Angelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Grandinetti S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Pistoiese Compare

Top Goalscorer Rossi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gennari M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sant'Angelo 27 / 100
Pistoiese 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sant'Angelo Pistoiese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sant'Angelo found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Sant'Angelo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Pistoiese conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sant'Angelo VS Pistoiese
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sant'Angelo

(Home)
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2
Sant'Angelo
26 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
SCD Progresso
19 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 1
Sant'Angelo
12 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
Piacenza
02 Apr
Correggese
2 : 1
Sant'Angelo
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Pistoiese

(Away)
01 Aug
Carpi
1 : 2
Pistoiese
10 May
Pistoiese
1 : 3
Piacenza
03 May
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Cittadella Vis Modena
26 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 1
Pistoiese
19 Apr
Pistoiese
0 : 1
Tropical Coriano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)