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Santarritense U20 vs Atletico-MG U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Mineiro U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Joao Rafael
56' Event
Luis Felipe
Own Goal
63' Event
Thomaz Rocha

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro U20 2024 game between Santarritense U20 and Atletico-MG U20 finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico-MG U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Santarritense U20
15%
Draws
68%
Atletico-MG U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico-MG U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Atletico-MG U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Atletico-MG U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Santarritense U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico-MG U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santarritense U20 Atletico-MG U20
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 2 20
Draws 0 2
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.5 2.63
Goals Conceded 3.93 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2024 Mineiro U20
Santarritense U20 vs Atletico-MG U20
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santarritense U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Atletico-MG U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomaz Rocha
2 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Rafael
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santarritense U20 10 / 100
Atletico-MG U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santarritense U20 Atletico-MG U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico-MG U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico-MG U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Santarritense U20's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Recent resilience: Santarritense U20 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atletico-MG U20
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santarritense U20

(Home)
09 Aug
Piracicaba U20
0 : 1
Santarritense U20
02 Aug
Santarritense U20
0 : 10
Athletic Club U20
27 Jul
Betim FC U20
4 : 0
Santarritense U20
21 Jul
Santarritense U20
0 : 5
Atletico-MG U20
13 Jul
Boston City U20
4 : 0
Santarritense U20
Page 1 of 3

Atletico-MG U20

(Away)
02 Oct
Coimbra Sports U20
1 : 3
Atletico-MG U20
26 Sept
Atletico-MG U20
5 : 1
Coimbra Sports U20
19 Sept
Atletico-MG U20
4 : 2
Nacional de Muriae U20
13 Sept
America MG U20
4 : 1
Atletico-MG U20
08 Sept
Atletico-MG U20
4 : 0
Sobradinho U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 14 12 2 0 69:13 38
2 Inter de Minas U20 14 10 3 1 38:17 33
3 Atletico-MG U20 14 10 1 3 51:12 31
4 America MG U20 14 8 5 1 35:8 29
5 Athletic Club U20 14 8 4 2 26:13 28
6 Betim FC U20 14 7 4 3 20:19 25
7 Contagem U20 14 6 4 4 23:19 22
8 Boston City U20 14 4 6 4 27:20 18
9 Futgol U20 14 5 1 8 19:26 16
10 Coimbra Sports U20 14 4 2 8 20:24 14
11 Tres Coracoes U20 14 4 2 8 19:26 14
12 Piracicaba U20 14 2 2 10 10:28 8
13 Minas Boca U20 14 2 2 10 15:50 8
14 Santarritense U20 14 2 0 12 7:55 6
15 Ipatinga U20 14 1 2 11 5:54 5
Promotion - Mineiro U20 2024 (Play Offs)