Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santo Andre vs EC Sao Bernardo

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Hanry T.
72'
Vitorino
72'
Vitorino

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Santo Andre
15%
Draws
32%
EC Sao Bernardo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santo Andre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • EC Sao Bernardo have won more games recently than Santo Andre.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • EC Sao Bernardo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor EC Sao Bernardo, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Santo Andre Clean Sheet 16%
EC Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santo Andre EC Sao Bernardo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.26 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Copa Paulista
Santo Andre vs EC Sao Bernardo
1:0
Jul 19, 2026 Copa Paulista
EC Sao Bernardo vs Santo Andre
3:1
Aug 13, 2023 Copa Paulista
EC Sao Bernardo vs Santo Andre
1:2
Jul 5, 2023 Copa Paulista
Santo Andre vs EC Sao Bernardo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santo Andre Compare

Top Goalscorer Hanry T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.97
Avg xA / game 0.63

EC Sao Bernardo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santo Andre 36 / 100
EC Sao Bernardo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santo Andre EC Sao Bernardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Sao Bernardo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santo Andre scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: EC Sao Bernardo conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Santo Andre has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santo Andre VS EC Sao Bernardo
1.14 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
43% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 88%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santo Andre

(Home)
22 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo
17 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 1
Santo Andre
08 Aug
Sao Jose EC
2 : 0
Santo Andre
02 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
Sao Jose EC
26 Jul
Santo Andre
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6

EC Sao Bernardo

(Away)
05 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 1
Comercial
31 Aug
Comercial
2 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo
22 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo
15 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 3
Sao Jose EC
09 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linense 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 Bandeirante 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
3 Gremio Prudente 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Marilia 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noroeste 6 2 3 1 10:10 9
2 Uniao Sao Joao 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
3 Comercial 6 2 1 3 8:7 7
4 Piracicaba 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus-SP 6 3 1 2 11:5 10
2 Primavera EC 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Paulista 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
4 Osasco Sporting 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 EC Sao Bernardo 6 3 0 3 12:8 9
3 Sao Caetano 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
4 Santo Andre 6 3 1 2 4:5 0
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)