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Santo Andre vs Sao Jose EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Clessione
(Penalty)
27' Event
Rikelmi
49' Event
Rikelmi

AI Match Summary

Sao Jose EC in this Paulista A2 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Jose EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Santo Andre
30%
Draws
37%
Sao Jose EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Jose EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Jose EC lately — more wins on the board than Santo Andre.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Sao Jose EC taking it.
  • Regular Paulista A2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sao Jose EC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Santo Andre Clean Sheet 19%
Sao Jose EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santo Andre Sao Jose EC
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 9 20
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Copa Paulista
Sao Jose EC vs Santo Andre
2:0
Aug 2, 2026 Copa Paulista
Santo Andre vs Sao Jose EC
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 Paulista A2
Santo Andre vs Sao Jose EC
0:3
Aug 3, 2025 Copa Paulista
Sao Jose EC vs Santo Andre
3:1
Jun 28, 2025 Copa Paulista
Santo Andre vs Sao Jose EC
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santo Andre Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sao Jose EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rikelmi
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santo Andre 24 / 100
Sao Jose EC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santo Andre Sao Jose EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santo Andre scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Sao Jose EC let in goals in 61% of their last 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Santo Andre went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santo Andre VS Sao Jose EC
1.14 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
43% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santo Andre

(Home)
22 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo
17 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 1
Santo Andre
08 Aug
Sao Jose EC
2 : 0
Santo Andre
02 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
Sao Jose EC
26 Jul
Santo Andre
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
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Sao Jose EC

(Away)
19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0
Comercial
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0
Sao Jose EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
15 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 3
Sao Jose EC
08 Aug
Sao Jose EC
2 : 0
Santo Andre
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa 15 10 1 4 24:14 31
2 Ferroviaria 15 8 4 3 22:12 28
3 Ituano 15 8 4 3 22:14 28
4 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 21:13 27
5 Sertaozinho 15 7 4 4 19:19 25
6 Votuporanguense 15 7 3 5 16:17 24
7 Juventus-SP 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
8 Piracicaba 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
9 Osasco Sporting 15 5 7 3 22:18 22
10 Santo Andre 15 5 3 7 16:22 18
11 Taubate 15 3 8 4 22:23 17
12 Internacional de Limeira 15 4 4 7 15:18 16
13 Linense 15 2 7 6 12:18 13
14 Monte Azul 15 2 6 7 17:22 12
15 Gremio Prudente 15 1 9 5 12:16 12
16 Sao Bento 15 1 2 12 8:25 5
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)