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Santos AP vs Cristal AP

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Pinho A.
57' Event
Tony Love
60' Event
Douglas Washington

AI Match Summary

The Amapaense 2025 game between Santos AP and Cristal AP finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cristal AP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Santos AP
20%
Draws
0%
Cristal AP
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santos AP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Cristal AP haven't matched Santos AP's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Santos AP's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Amapaense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Santos AP Clean Sheet 68%
Cristal AP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos AP Cristal AP
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 9 3
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.71 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.23 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 Amapaense
Santos AP vs Cristal AP
2:1
Apr 19, 2025 Amapaense
Santos AP vs Cristal AP
1:3
Jul 24, 2011 Amapaense
Santos AP vs Cristal AP
6:0
Mar 28, 2008 Amapaense
Cristal AP vs Santos AP
1:1
Jun 30, 2007 Amapaense
Santos AP vs Cristal AP
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos AP Compare

Top Goalscorer Douglas Washington
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Cristal AP Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinho A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tony Love
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos AP 95 / 100
Cristal AP 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos AP Cristal AP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos AP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos AP found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Cristal AP let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Santos AP has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santos AP VS Cristal AP
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos AP

(Home)
28 Mar
SAO Jose
0 : 4
Santos AP
24 Mar
Oratorio
1 : 2
Santos AP
21 Mar
Santos AP
1 : 1
Oratorio
15 Mar
Santos AP
5 : 0
Macapa
08 Mar
Santos AP
1 : 1
Trem
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Cristal AP

(Away)
14 Mar
Oratorio
4 : 1
Cristal AP
10 Mar
Cristal AP
0 : 2
Ypiranga AP
02 Mar
Trem
3 : 1
Cristal AP
27 Feb
SAO Jose
2 : 1
Cristal AP
22 Feb
Cristal AP
1 : 2
Macapa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trem 7 5 1 1 16:5 16
2 Oratorio 7 5 1 1 11:5 16
3 Independente AP 7 4 2 1 11:5 14
4 Santos AP 7 3 0 4 9:9 9
5 Cristal AP 7 3 2 2 13:7 8
6 Ypiranga AP 7 2 2 3 8:7 8
7 Portuguesa AP 7 1 2 4 5:9 5
8 Santana EC 7 0 0 7 4:30 0
Promotion - Amapaense 2025 (Play Offs)