Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santos FC vs San Marcos

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2025 Estadio Municipal de Nasca, Nazca
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Colon S.
30' Event
Colon S.
44'
Cuneo O.

AI Match Summary

Santos FC in this Liga 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santos FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Santos FC
6%
Draws
4%
San Marcos
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Santos FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Santos FC have won more games recently than San Marcos.
  • Santos FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Santos FC Clean Sheet 68%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos FC San Marcos
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0.17
Goals Conceded 0.88 3.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 3.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Liga 2
San Marcos vs Santos FC
1:3
Aug 9, 2025 Liga 2
Santos FC vs San Marcos
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Colon S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Farias J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

San Marcos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.15
Avg xA / game 0.09

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos FC 95 / 100
San Marcos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos FC San Marcos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: San Marcos registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Santos FC's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

San Marcos let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Santos FC VS San Marcos
0.88 Goals Scored 0.17
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.67
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos FC

(Home)
26 Jul
Ayacucho
2 : 0
Santos FC
19 Jul
Santos FC
3 : 1
Binacional
28 Jun
Los Chankas
3 : 0
Santos FC
21 Jun
Santos FC
2 : 1
Ayacucho
29 May
Santos FC
0 : 1
Union Minas
Page 1 of 6

San Marcos

(Away)
02 May
San Marcos
0 : 3
Llacuabamba
25 Apr
Carlos Mannucci
3 : 0
San Marcos
19 Apr
San Marcos
0 : 3
Pirata
03 Apr
AD Cantolao
5 : 1
San Marcos
27 Mar
San Marcos
0 : 3
Union Comercio
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cajamarca833210:814
2Moquegua833214:1113
3Cesar Vallejo832310:1011
4Tacna Heroica824211:1210
5Carlos Mannucci822415:198
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Comercio870118:421
2Comerciantes FC823312:711
3ADA Jaen82429:910
4Santos FC831410:1110
5San Marcos81254:226
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)